Fantasy Upside
Tyreek Hill avoided suspension, which means he’s on pace to play a full season (barring injuries). Hill has been a star ever since joining the league, but he really shined in 2018 with Patrick Mahomes as his QB. Hill had a career season, catching 87 passes for 1,479 yards and 12 touchdowns, all career highs. He led all receivers in fantasy points scored last season, and there’s really no reason why he can’t do it again. He had six games with 100+ receiving yards last year, and can be the sole reason your team wins on any given week.
Fantasy Downside
Although Hill avoided suspension, for now, there’s always the risk something new could rise up and cause the NFL to take action. Whether it be a new case entirely, or new evidence in the previous case that forces the league to punish him. Also, you probably want to draft Hill with the expectation he does what he did a year ago, but a slight decline should be expected. If Sammy Watkins can stay healthy, he was a sneakily good player in 2018. Kansas City also drafted Mecole Hardman in the second round, giving the team more weapons than it had in 2018.
2019 Bottom Line
If Hill avoids injury and league discipline, he should easily finish as a top 10 or top-five receiver. His top-end speed and Mahomes’ deep ball is like a match made in heaven. He carries some off-field risk, but with the league already making its decision, it seems unlikely anything else happens. He was surprisingly consistent in 2018, with just one game falling below 50 scrimmage yards (and even then he had 41). He should be taken within the first two rounds of drafts.