Fantasy Upside
Dawson Knox had a similar 2022 to 2021 except for three less touchdowns. He has become a consistent target for Josh Allen and established himself as one of the more reliable tight ends in the league. He is in the second year of a four year deal so the Bills have invested in him.
Fantasy Downside
After two solid seasons, the Bills went out and drafted a pass-catching specialist in Dalton Kincaid in the first round of the 2023 Draft. Of course this will affect Knox's numbers. He probably will have trouble equaling his numbers from the last two seasons.
2023 Bottom Line
Yes, people are drafting Kincaid before Knox, but this is a mistake. These two should split production which means Knox still has value. Tight ends usually take some time to turn into a Travis Kelce or George Kittle, which could be Kincaid's future. The numbers will be pretty close and you can get Knox two rounds later in the draft. But he shouldn't be your No. 1 tight end this season.