Rushing Expectation 2017 List
Rushing Expectation balances metrics with film evaluation -- one of the toughest things to do in fantasy football. The in-depth charting analysis reveals the true fantasy value of each running back and team backfield situation.
Read about the Rushing Expectation Charting Methodology here.
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Baltimore Ravens: Kenneth Dixon, Terrance West
Is early-down work enough for West to hit value? Can West fend off Woodhead in the passing game, or will West’s lack of versatility in that area limit his fantasy upside?
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Article: Is Terrance West Actually Any Good?
Chicago Bears: Jordan Howard
Can Howard improve in the passing game, or will his lack of versatility in that area limit his fantasy upside?
- Article: Why Jordan Howard is Being Overvalued in Fantasy Football
Cincinnati Bengals: Giovani Bernard, Jeremy Hill
The Bengals' offensive line could definitely be an issue, but could that actually increase the receiving role of the team's running backs? Will Bernard maintain a stranglehold on passing-down work? Will the Bengals continue to lean on Hill at the goal line, or will he quickly become a non-factor in favor of Mixon?
- Article: Will Joe Mixon Render Gio Bernard and/or Jeremy Hill Irrelevant?
Cleveland Browns: Isaiah Crowell, Duke Johnson
Will the Browns remain fully committed to Crowell? And would Johnson have similar RB1 upside if he was the starter instead?
- Article: Does Isaiah Crowell or Duke Johnson Offer More Fantasy Value?
Denver Broncos: C.J. Anderson, Devontae Booker
Can CJA fend of Charles and Booker to work his way back to a feature-back role? Does CJA even deserve it? Perhaps this muddy situation is better suited as a full fade, but then again, the cost is low ... so let's find out.
- Article: What the Film Says About C.J. Anderson's Odds of Bouncing Back
Detroit Lions: Ameer Abdullah, Theo Riddick, Zach Zenner
Are the concerns with Abdullah again priced into his current ADP? And where does that leave the value of Riddick and Zenner?
- Article: Ameer Abdullah is the Lions Running Back to Own in Fantasy
Green Bay Packers: Ty Montgomery
Will Jamaal Williams and/or Aaron Jones pose an immediate threat Montgomery's workload in their first year? Can Montgomery even handle a heavy load over a full season? Does he even need to?
- Article: Ty Montgomery Has Massive Fantasy Upside
Kansas City Chiefs: Spencer Ware
Could a reduced workload actually help Ware, and can he stay healthy enough to regain his RB1 upside? Or will the Chiefs implement a committee?
Los Angeles Rams: Todd Gurley
Can Gurley return to his rookie-season form with a new coach and upgraded offensive line? And will the addition of Dunbar significantly cut into Gurley's fantasy value?
Miami Dolphins: Jay Ajayi
Taking into consideration all his big plays, how efficient was Ajayi relative to his offensive line? Can he become more of a factor in the passing game after reportedly looking “much smoother” running routes this offseason?
Minnesota Vikings: Latavius Murray, Jerick McKinnon
Should the concerns surrounding Dalvin Cook, who has an ADP in the fifth round, scare you off? Will the Vikings lean on Murray enough at the goal line and McKinnon enough in passing situations to muddy the waters completely?
- Article: Why You Should Avoid the Vikings' Backfield in Fantasy Football
New England Patriots: Mike Gillislee, Dion Lewis, James White, Rex Burkhead
Can Gillislee give us more than what Blount did a year ago? What do we do with the rest of this uber-talented group? More importantly, who carries the most upside relative to cost?
New York Giants: Paul Perkins, Shane Vereen
Can Perkins hold on the the feature-back role? Or is this a situation to avoid completely? Does pass-catching volume make Vereen an intriguing PPR flier? Will Gallman be a factor in his rookie year?
- Article: Can Paul Perkins Maintain a Stranglehold on the Starting Job?
New York Jets: Bilal Powell, Matt Forte
Will the Jets stick to their plans and use both Powell and Forte?
- Article: Bilal Powell is the Jets Back to Own in Fantasy Because Matt Forte is Trash Now
Oakland Raiders: DeAndre Washington, Jalen Richard
Will the Raiders get a full season from Marshawn Lynch? Would Washington or Richard have RB1 upside if thrust into a bigger role? Most importantly, which one is the better handcuff?
- Article: Marshawn Lynch's Handcuff: DeAndre Washington or Jalen Richard?
San Diego Chargers: Melvin Gordon
Will Gordon carry the touchdown upside he had in 2016 over to 2017? Can volume alone make Gordon a difference maker at his current ADP? Or is it more likely that Gordon reverts back to the level of ineffectiveness he displayed in 2015?
- Article: Is One Good Year Enough to Trust Melvin Gordon as a Fantasy Stud?
Seattle Seahawks: Eddie Lacy, C.J. Prosise, Thomas Rawls
Can we touch Lacy at his ADP given what we have (not) seen in the preseason? Does Prosise deserve a bigger role? Or is Rawls one of the most undervalued players in fantasy drafts?
- Article: Letting the Tape Untangle the Thomas Rawls vs. Eddie Lacy Debate
San Francisco 49ers: Carlos Hyde
Will the new regime move on from Hyde? If not, do Hightower and/or Williams pose an immediate threat Hyde's workload? Does it even matter for an injury-prone back on a bad team?
- Article: Is Carlos Hyde Good Enough to Win Over Kyle Shanahan?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Doug Martin, Charles Sims, Jacquizz Rodgers
Can Rodgers hold on to the job when Martin returns from suspension? Will we see 2015 Martin? Or the 2016 Martin? What will the role of the talented but disappointing Sims be moving forward?
- Article: Is Doug Martin Worth Stashing for 3 Weeks in Fantasy Football?
Tennessee Titans: DeMarco Murray, Derrick Henry
Is Murray’s upside behind a top-notch offensive line higher than the other high-volume backs in his ADP range? Is the theoretical ceiling of Henry worth his average draft position?
- Aritlce: DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry: Fantasy's Next Dominant Tandem?
Washington Redskins: Rob Kelley, Chris Thompson
Will Samaje Perine pose an immediate threat to Kelley's workload? Is Thompson’s change-of pace role safe, or even valuable enough to care about in fantasy?
- Article: Draft Samaje Perine in Fantasy Because Rob Kelley Is Just a Guy
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