Connor Allen: 3 Week 11 Player Props I'm Betting

Nov 19, 2021

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As the legalization of sports betting continues to explode, more and more people are diving into a new way of speculating on sports. For those just starting off, I broke down some of the basics in my gambling 101 piece. Among every category of bets, player props remain the most beatable in the long run. Last year, I hit 59% of my bets for +35 units on the season. The two years prior were much of the same, hitting 57% and 58%, respectively, of my player props for profitable seasons. I have improved every year and think that trend will continue with new tools. I’ve already fired off a handful of bets for Week 11 and will be adding more here. If you are a betting subscriber, it is vital to be in our Discord. We have it set up so you can get push notifications for the plays our staff posts. Just go to role assign, then scroll up and click the little circus emoji under “Prop Stars.” If you want general NFL betting notifications, go to role assign and then click the football emoji.

Week 10 Recap: In a poof, the magic fairy dust that was sprinkled over my Week 9 props were gone. After a 10-1 Week 9, I only went 7-6 for +1.15 units last week. That doesn’t sound that bad but we should have had another big week. Ricky Seals-Jones’s prop was set at 3.5 with +120 on the over. He got injured on his third catch, which happened midway through the second quarter. Without the game-ending injury, he would have easily cashed the over. Mike White threw four interceptions and averaged 5.7 yards per attempt against the Bills but wound up with 44 passing attempts and 251 passing yards because the Bills refused to control the clock and couldn’t stop from turning the ball over or firing off huge plays. Diontae Johnson had around 30 receiving yards in regulation, comfortably under his prop of 74.5. He wound up with 83 receiving yards total because of overtime. Adam Thielen wound up with 65 receiving yards after catching a meaningless 18-yard pass on the Vikings' second-to-last offensive play that busted our play of under 64.5 receiving yards. Despite the ridiculousness, we still posted a winning week. Now sitting up +20.92 units on the season, I’m ready to attack Week 11…

More Player Props: Sam Hoppen | Ryan Noonan