TL;DR Week 13
4for4 Illustrations
It's no secret we produce a ton of weekly data-driven, actionable fantasy football content designed to help you win your weekly matchup or cash your DFS lineups and bets. We also know not everybody has the time to read thousands upon thousands of words every week. With that in mind, this weekly TL;DR column is meant to highlight a few can't miss stats, facts, or analyses, broken down by category (season-long, DFS, betting), to aid in your weekly research prep.
TL;DR Season-Long Week 13
- Streamable defenses with the softest fantasy playoff schedules according to aFPA: Bengals, Chargers & Seahawks (Full Article)
- Van Jefferson has seen 7+ targets in four of his last five games and 6+ targets in seven of his last nine games. (Full Article)
- Since his Week 9 return, Tyrod Taylor is 34th out of 34 qualifying quarterbacks with 2.6 adjusted yards per attempt and he has been pressured on an astonishing 44.6% of his 112 dropbacks. Fire up that Colts defense. (Full Article)
- Darnell Mooney looks like a No. 1 WR. Over his last four games, Mooney has an elite 31% target share, 0.69 WOPR and 90% routes per dropback rate. Thanks to this, he's scored at least a dozen PPR points in each of those games, eclipsing 20 PPR points in two of them. (Full Article)
All Week 13 Season-Long Content.
TL;DR DFS Week 13
- The Chargers had allowed three straight games with a 100-yard receiver prior to Week 12 against Denver and have allowed a 60-yard receiver in 8-of-11 contests. (Full Article)
- Washington ranks 25th in schedule-adjusted PPR points allowed to WRs & allows the sixth-most yards per attempt to players lined up in the slot, where Hunter Renfrow has seen 74 of his 82 targets. (Full Article)
- Rashod Bateman is seeing nearly seven targets/game over his last four and is second among the WR group in market share of air yards (21.7%). He should be covered by Cameron Sutton, who is allowing 68% of the targets thrown his way to be caught & is giving up over two fantasy points per target. (Full Article)
- The Raiders are taking on the Washington Football Team who are giving up passing touchdowns at the highest rate in the NFL and are the worst team in the league against the quarterback position overall. (Full Article)
TL;DR Betting Week 13
- Elijah Mitchell has four games with 100 rushing yards this season for a Niners team averaging 178.3 rushing yards per game during their current three-game winning streak. (Full Article)
- Miami is getting a lot of praise for their improvements on defense, but their standard versus weighted DVOA numbers only show slight improvement (-0.1% to -0.5%). (Full Article)
- The Bengals have run the ball 55.6% of the time when leading this year versus 40.7% of the time when tied or trailing. (Full Article)
- Since returning from the bye in Week 8, Justin Herbert has a -2.5% completion percentage over expectation and a 6.4-yard average depth of target (second-lowest among qualified QBs). (Full Article)