NBA Player Prop Bets: Poole Party Gets Sloppy

Feb 06, 2023

Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

Over the course of a season, there are certain players or specific props that will become regulars but one of the hardest things to learn is when to walk away from a prop that has been profitable and then know when it is time to return to it. All three props today have been used multiple times and due to outside circumstances are back in play.

Check out all the tools 4for4 has to aid in your daily prep. The Player Prop Tool will show projected value on listed props and you can customize the search to your liking, the Stat Explorer shows a specific stat for a player and how it compares to that night’s line and even allows you to customize the time frame you are looking at, and the Player Prop Finder shows what the line is at for all of a player’s props at all the primary books. Do not forget the Player Prop Odds Table and Player Splits Tool as well and make sure to get involved in Discord, where staff and subscribers talk through their favorite plays. Let’s make it a profitable start to the week.

Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets (February 6, 2023)

Jordan Poole Over 3.5 Turnovers (-125 at BetMGM)

Anyone who has followed my plays knows my hesitance with laying this much juice but the setup is too good to ignore.

Jordan Poole is likely somewhat extended beyond his best role when having to run the point for the Warriors with Steph Curry. He has been best as a secondary creator who specializes in shooting when coming off screens. When in the starting lineup this season, Poole has averaged 3.7 turnovers and a whopping 4.9 when Curry is out of the lineup. Poole has gone over this prop in 13 of the 15 games this year. The assists stay the same for Poole whether Curry is in or out of the lineup, so all the extra touch time leads to a lot of one-on-one play or trying to do everything himself. That style of play will lead to turnovers.

The Warriors are hosting the Thunder tonight. With their length in the backcourt, it is no wonder they are third in forcing turnovers this season. With an increased role, minutes load, and an opponent adept at turning opposing guards over, there is value in this over.

Risk: 1.25 units on BetMGM to win 1 unit. (Playable to -130)