NBA Player Prop Bets: Spencer Dinwiddie Remains Red Hot

Jan 24, 2023

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We have an unusually large slate around the NBA on Tuesday, with 14 teams taking the court. We’ve already gotten a slew of injury reports submitted, including nearly the entire Celtics' starting lineup resting, while the potential three-time MVP Nikola Jokic is still listed as questionable. With so much ambiguity, books have been rather conservative in terms of releasing props. Despite that, my three favorite player props are listed below.

Regarding the process behind the plays, the suite of tools that 4for4 offers are second-to-none. I use the NBA Splits Tool to break down injury impacts and lineup changes and the NBA Prop Stat Explorer to look at historical data for how the player performs relative to their prop and compare it to our in-house projection. Using these alongside the Player Prop Finder to shop for the best line, 4for4 makes betting on NBA player props a stress-free and fun process. With the shameless plug (that I am not explicitly paid for!), let’s get into the props for today.

Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets (January 24, 2023)

Jarrett Allen Over 8.5 Rebounds (-104 at Caesars)

It’s hard to remember a time when we saw such a low rebounding prop for Jarrett Allen, especially with the value on the over. In a matchup with the Knicks, who are missing Mitchell Robinson, this feels like a great spot for Allen to get back on track on the glass.

Despite failing to reach this mark in four of his last five games, Allen has still averaged 9.6 rebounds per game on the season and logged 13 boards in his last game against the Knicks. It's also worth noting that despite the disappointing outings recently, Allen has still led the entire Cavs team in rebounding chances per game (15.6) over his recent five-game cold streak.

Without Robinson, the Knicks will struggle to have a true center who can really compete with Allen on the boards, as they’ve slipped to 12th in rebounding chances per game (76.5) over the last two games without Robinson after ranking third in the NBA on the season overall (83.1).

Risk: 1.04 units on Caesars to win 1 unit.