NBA Player Prop Bets: Trust Big Vooch
Friday brings us the largest NBA slate of the week with nine games on tap and a ton of injury situations to dive into. After a scorching two days in the 4for4 Discord where we’ve profited over 13 units, we will attempt to keep the momentum going, starting with my three favorite player props below.
Regarding the process behind the plays, the suite of tools that 4for4 offers are second-to-none. I use the NBA Splits Tool to break down injury impacts and lineup changes and the NBA Prop Stat Explorer to look at historical data for how the player performs relative to their prop and compare it to our in-house projection. Using these alongside the Player Prop Finder to shop for the best line, 4for4 makes betting on NBA player props a stress-free and fun process. With the shameless plug (that I am not explicitly paid for!), let’s get into the props for today.
Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets (January 103, 2023)
Nikola Vucevic Over 12.5 Rebounds (-115 at DraftKings)
The age-old strategy of attacking the Thunder with centers continues on Friday, only this time, the center of focus gets an additional bump. With DeMar DeRozan slated to miss his second consecutive game, Nikola Vucevic should see the opportunity to repeat his 39-minute performance against one of the weakest frontcourts in basketball.
Vucevic logged 14 rebounding chances last game, recording 10 rebounds, and continued to build on a strong few weeks. Over his last five games, Vucevic has averaged 19.4 rebounding chances and 14.0 rebounds per game, coming into this tilt in blazing form and having already logged a 13-rebound game against the Thunder once this season.
With the Thunder ranking dead-last in the NBA in rebounds allowed per game (47.4) and offensive rebounds allowed per game (12.3), there’s no better spot to attack than this one. We have him projected for 13.6 rebounds, giving us a 7% value relative to the line. It doesn’t get much better than this.
Risk: 1.15 units on DraftKings to win 1 unit.
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