Fantasy Football Week 2: Trader's Alley: Buy Low, Sell High
Week 1 of the NFL season is over and we got to watch some real football. Draft season is well behind us, along with all the hope and optimism that comes with it. That means it is time to talk trade and fix our fantasy teams. I am here this week with the 1st edition of the 4for4 exclusive trade value charts. I used 4for4's Rest-of-Season rankings as the seed input into my trade model to create a unique trade value chart. A feature of this chart is the "vs. Market" column after each player that compares 4for4 trade values with the market sheets I post on Reddit. We will briefly go over how I make the models and some key buys /sells/holds based on a market snapshot. I wanted to focus on market discrepancies and key players that I think are overvalued or undervalued with room for return.
Methods
My goal in building a model in 2017 was to quantify each position (wide receiver, tight end, quarterback) in terms of the running back position. I view running backs as the backbone of a fantasy football team. I regularly calibrate my model by scrapping public data for 1-for-1 positional trades to adjust my relationships up or down. This also helps me account for injuries increasing scarcity and shifts in offenses. I built a model that then uses expert ranks as an input or seed file to build these graphics.
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