NBA Player Prop Bets: Dejounte Murray to Set the Portland Ablaze

Mar 03, 2023

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Friday presents us with a 10-game slate chock full of tight spreads and star-studded matchups. With playoff seeding races heating up and teams starting to scale back their rotations in the pursuit of Victor Wembanyama, slates will only continue to get more and more hectic, as will the prop market.

Regarding the process behind the plays, the suite of tools that 4for4 offers are second-to-none. I use the NBA Splits Tool to break down injury impacts and lineup changes and the NBA Prop Stat Explorer to look at historical data for how the player performs relative to their prop and compare it to our in-house projection. Using these alongside the Player Prop Finder to shop for the best line, 4for4 makes betting on NBA player props a stress-free and fun process.

Now, let’s put the tools to use and get to today’s top player props.

Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets (March 3, 2023)

Walker Kessler Over 11.5 Rebounds (+100 at BetMGM)

Kessler has quickly become a mainstay for the Jazz as the man in the middle, and he’s done a fantastic job. Drawing arguably the most exploitable matchup for a center for the second time in four slates, I’m going right back to the well with Kessler’s rebounding over against the Thunder.

Kessler has shown us all the right things when it comes to dominating in matchups you expect him to. He’s faced weak and/or injured frontcourts in each of his last four games, having averaged 14.8 rebounds per game over that span, a string of games where he played the Thunder, Spurs twice, and the Grizzlies without Steven Adams, averaging 24.8 rebounding chances per game over this span.

He sees the Thunder once again tonight, a matchup where he posted 32 rebounding chances last game and a team that allows the most rebounds per game (46.8) in the NBA while ranking dead last in center defense. At even odds, this is a smash bet.

Risk: 1 unit on BetMGM to win 1 unit.