NBA Player Prop Bets: It's Ladder Season

Apr 04, 2023

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We’ve made it to the final week of the NBA regular season, and for those that are familiar with this time of year, I wish you the best of luck. For those unfamiliar, fasten your seatbelts and enjoy the wild ride of late-season NBA betting. There are few things that are more rewarding and simultaneously tilting, so we’ll do everything we can to guide you down the right path. My three favorite player props for Tuesday’s 13-game mega-slate are outlined below.

Regarding the process behind the plays, the suite of tools that 4for4 offers are second-to-none. I use the NBA Splits Tool to break down injury impacts and lineup changes and the NBA Prop Stat Explorer to look at historical data for how the player performs relative to their prop and compare it to our in-house projection. Using these alongside the Player Prop Finder to shop for the best line, 4for4 makes betting on NBA player props a stress-free and fun process.

Now, let’s put the tools to use and get to today’s top player props.

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Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets (April 4, 2023)

Austin Reaves Over 4.5 Assists (-104 at FanDuel)

The NBA’s newest golden child has seen a massive change in role as the season has gone along, and has quickly established himself as (arguably) one of the most important role players in basketball. Regardless of where you stand on the Austin Reaves debate, his assist market is oozing with value on Tuesday.

Over his last 10 games, we’ve seen Reaves top 4.5 assists in eight games, averaging 6.2 assists on 9.7 potential assists per game, trailing only D’Angelo Russell and LeBron James in the potential assist category on the team. His 32.5 minutes per game over that span trails only Anthony Davis on the team, as he’s gotta ample opportunities to produce, regardless of who is active on the team.

The Lakers come into Tuesday’s game as 9.5-point favorites against the Jazz, who are missing Jordan Clarkson, Walker Kessler, and Lauri Markkanen. This should allow the Lakers to get whatever they want on the offensive end and also instill a high level of blowout risk, which would only increase both Reaves’ minutes ceiling but also the potential to run the second unit by himself for more time than usual. Given the form he finds himself in as part of his newfound role, and the fact that there’s room for even more production in this game environment, I am all over the Austin Reaves assist number on Tuesday.

Risk: 1.04 units on FanDuel to win 1 unit.