FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Week 7 GPP Breakdown

Oct 22, 2023

Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

In this space each week will be the top stacks, contrarian plays, and strategies to attack GPPs on both FanDuel and DraftKings. The backbone of our player pool is value, as highlighted by 4for4’s proprietary value metric, which goes beyond simple point-per-dollar projections. To be successful in GPPs, however, it’s essential to be unique and that can be accomplished by combining knowledge from 4for4’s suite of DFS tools including ownership projections, leverage scores, correlation, and stack values.

Even with all of these resources at our disposal, adjusting for game type is essential. For example, someone playing the Millionaire Maker shouldn’t have the same approach as someone entering a $300 single-entry contest with 150 entries. For nuanced explanations on game selection and lineup construction, be sure to check out 4for4’s DFS Strategy Hub and DFS MVP game theory segments.

Note: Many of 4for4’s value plays should be in your GPP player pool but may not necessarily be written about below. Most starters on teams with high implied totals are worthy of being rostered but players in this breakdown are those to be overweight on.

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More Week 7 DFS Strategy: Top Values and Cash Plays | WR/CB Matchups | Ownership Projections | Leverage Scores

Popular Games to Target

Chargers @ Chiefs (-5.5); O/U 48

Stacking Patrick Mahomes ($9,200 FanDuel/$8,300 DraftKings) with Travis Kelce ($8,500 FD/$8,000 DK) is theoretically a great idea until a quarter of your salary is allocated to the first two players you click. Mahomes has also frustratingly lacked a ceiling this year, finishing no higher than the QB5 in any week without a single 30-point performance—he had five last season. Kelce has been the primary (and lone) beneficiary regardless of Mahomes’ “struggles”, averaging 3.4 more fantasy points (17.7) than the next closest tight end (Mark Andrews, 14.3). There are no other holes to poke given Los Angeles’ 5.8 yards per play (30th) and 17.7% explosive pass rate (32nd) allowed through the air.