Week 3 NFL Player Prop Bets: Best Player Props to Bet from Connor Allen

Sep 19, 2024

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Week 2 was a bit of a rollercoaster. We cashed both Deebo Samuel overs and two alt overs along with Jared Goff’s over and alt over. We also hammered Malik Willis under, and those cashed with ease.

Yet we lost some real shockers. Justin Fields had 26 rushing yards in the first quarter and didn’t get a single extra yard the entire rest of the game. Chig Okonkwo played just 48% of the snaps and somehow busted our under of 2.5 receptions. Tyler Johnson had 20 receiving yards at halftime, and Cooper Kupp was injured. Johnson should easily have gotten another 15-20 yards in the second half of a game the Rams were losing, right? He was held catchless.

We wound up losing about a unit last week but are still up +5.96 units on the season with multiple Week 3 plays good to go. I genuinely think there are some better spots this week than last week and am excited to get back after it.

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Week 3 NFL Player Props

KJ Osborn under 20.5 receiving yards ( -115 DK)

Widely available elsewhere. Going back to our old pal Osborn. After running 14 routes on 29 dropbacks In week 1, he ran just 20 routes on 32 dropbacks in Week 2. A slight improvement but still really low on an anemic passing offense. They now draw the Jets, who have largely struggled to defend the run and are likely getting back CB DJ Reed across from Sauce Gardner. Osborn has predominantly played on the outside and should see one of them almost the entire game. On top of this, the coaching staff continues to talk up Ja'Lynn Polk, who should see more playing time, while Jacoby Brissett has targeted the WR position at one of the lowest rates in the league. Osborn is likely only seeing 1-2 targets here and they likely won't be deep downfield with just a 5.1 average depth of target so far this season. There are tons of out for this under here. h/t @lotenj for pointing it out.

Risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit