DraftKings Week 11 GPP Breakdown
Week 11 is shaping up like a week to utilize the price pivot in GPPs. In case you're unfamiliar, a price pivot is when you roster a player at a similar salary of the chalk that is projected to be more lowly owned relative to the chalk than his upside would otherwise dictate.
For instance, we project LeVeon Bell to be in roughly one-third of lineups, and while he's the top play on the board, is he really nearly twice as likely to hit his ceiling as the other backs in his price range? He's not. C.J. Prosise is a nice value play, but is he 7-8 times as likely to have a ceiling game as some of the other backs in his price range that project to handle similar workloads? Also a negative. Then there's Martellus Bennett. We project his ownership to be anywhere from 3-27 times higher than other TEs in his price range. We know the TE position is volatile, so there's no way Bennett's odds are that good. Read on below for plays that make for a sharp pivot off the aforementioned chalk.
As always, players listed below are those I'm in favor of having more exposure to than the field, loosely ranked by leverage.
Related: DraftKings GPP Guidelines, The Definitive Guide to Stacking on DraftKings, Ownership Projections for FanDuel and DraftKings, Week 11
Note on Weather: Keep an eye on the weather this weekend, especially in the Steelers-Browns game. Winds above 20 mph are generally not good for the deep passing game. Also keep in mind precipitation generally makes things more difficult for defensive backs, who are liable to slip as they attempt to follow receivers. I wouldn't move off players completely due to bad weather, as you may be able to gain access to some great plays at depressed ownership.
QB
Colin Kaepernick $5,200 vs. NE
Some may still think of Kaep’s disastrous 2015 and shy away, but he’s been solid this season, averaging 234.5 passing yards, 57 rushing yards, 1.5 total TDs, and only 0.5 interceptions in four starts. The Pats rank 27th in QB aFPA.
Keep reading for more of Chris Raybon's top GPP plays.
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