Streaming Kickers: Week 13 Fantasy Football Targets

Nov 28, 2017

Projecting a kicker’s output isn’t as difficult or random as you may think—in fact, taking a look at Vegas odds is the best way to accurately predict a kicker’s weekly potential. By focusing in on the team implied point totals, game totals, and favorites, we can get a cumulative idea of how an offense will perform when it comes to settling for field goals, distance of kicks, and the like. For a more detailed explanation on using Vegas odds for successfully streaming kickers, I suggest checking out Chris Raybon’s DFS Playbook Strategy article, which is packed with info on the most profitable way to predict the position.

Another metric useful in projecting a kicker’s output is 4for4’s schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed or aFPA. By removing the schedule bias, we can compare matchups in an apples-to-apples manner. By Week 4, there’s a solid sample size to work from, and the info gets more trustworthy with each data-filled week.

The goal in streaming is to roster a player who will return starting kicker fantasy points, and Week 12 wasn’t exactly my best. Chandler Catanzaro put up nine points as kicker 12, with Nick Rose ranking 15^thwith eight points. 4for4’s optimal streaming kicker has 167 total points on the season, enough for first place among all kickers in the league. Let’s move forward to Week 13- time to secure those fantasy playoff spots.

In order to provide advice that you can actually implement, candidates for streaming must be available in at least 40% of Yahoo fantasy leagues.

Graham Gano (CAR) @ NO

The Panthers’ specialist sits as kicker 12 on the season and has missed just three kicks through the first 11 games. He gets a comfy dome in Week 13, as Carolina heads to New Orleans for Sunday’s contest. The over/under is a lofty 48, which bodes well for Gano’s scoring potential, plus the Panthers seem to have found a new gear offensively in recent weeks, dropping 100 points in their past three matchups. Gano is free in 71% of Yahoo leagues and makes an excellent streamer for Week 13.

Jake Elliott (PHI) @ SEA

Despite an early exit in Week 11 due to a concussion, Elliott hit all four extra points and a 45-yard field goal last week. The Eagles’ rookie is currently 11^th in kicker fantasy points with one less game played and is in a good position to help your fantasy team win in Week 13. Philly’s showdown in Seattle has an over/under of 47 points, with the Eagles favored to win by five points. Elliott is rostered in 51% of Yahoo leagues so this may be your last week to grab him.

Continue reading for four more options, plus three deep league candidates...