10 ADP Risers & Fallers After Preseason Week 1

Aug 12, 2019

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Finding any edge when it comes to which players to draft is something all fantasy managers are after. One of the most popular measurable ways to track player rankings and how each player is being perceived is by their Average Draft Position (ADP).

As we move closer redraft league frenzy season, when the majority of your home or friends and family drafts take place, analyzing BB10 ADP from week-to-week during the preseason is helpful to gather an overall impression of where players are being drafted. Drafters of BB10 best-ball leagues tend to be sharper than your average fantasy football participant, so you may find players will slip a bit further in some leagues than others.

In other words, ADP data is very useful but is not everything, so don’t ride or die with it.

In this piece, I’ll take a look at some of the biggest risers and fallers from the first week of the preseason, comparing their ADP from August 5th to August 12th and how you should approach them moving forward. A player’s ADP can change for a plethora of reasons and diving into the cause of that movement can certainly help come draft time.

Note: The number in parenthesis represents their overall +/- ADP jump.

Biggest Fallers

Jay Ajayi – RB, FA (-40 overall ADP)

My only thought here is that people were drafting Ajayi in the hopes he would be signed in Houston, then backed off considerably after the Johnson trade. Ajayi is still worth a super-late dart throw in best-ball leagues—since the RB position is so injury-heavy he could get a shot sooner than later.

The 26-year old is coming off an ACL tear from October but has been medically cleared and should still have plenty in the tank to help an NFL team in 2019.

Hakeem Butler – WR, Cardinals (-34 overall ADP)

The fourth-round draft pick out of Iowa State posted just over 2,000 yards and 16 touchdowns in his last two seasons, which had drafters drooling at his potential in the predicted high-flying offense at Arizona.

Early returns have him a bit behind, and it’s still unknown who’ll get the most targets behind Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk for the Cardinals. Butler had just one catch for six yards in his NFL debut, sending his ADP downward almost three full rounds from 282 to 248.