NFL Week 1: Totals Bets

Sep 09, 2021

Joe Sargent/Getty Images

I’ve got some good news, my friends. We are officially back to football season and we are prepping for our first NFL Sunday of the 2021 campaign. You have come to the right place as this is the spot to find the best picks on NFL Totals for all of the 2021 season.

Depending on perspective, we could label Week 1 as the most difficult or the easiest week to find the best total plays...

Perspective No. 1: We are lacking pace data, defensive trend data and play-calling philosophy for the current season. How could it not be the most difficult?

Perspective No. 2: For all the data we are lacking, the oddsmakers are lacking the same. We don’t need them to drop the ball on all the lines they set, we just want them to drop the ball on some.

While neither perspective is incorrect, it's Perspective No. 2 that will always win out. After all, we are making our picks and bets this week. Our goal is to find the totals set too high or too low, and to use the data we have to find the highest probabilities of exploiting. I have a pair of those for you.