Week 1 Thursday Night Single-Game NFL DFS: Top FanDuel & DraftKings Plays

Sep 06, 2023

Thursday Night Single-Game DFS: Lions at Chiefs

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to the Showdown Breakdown! We're kicking off the 2023 NFL season with a potential shootout between the Lions and the defending Super Bowl Champion Chiefs. The Lions are a team projected to be on the rise. They have a real shot in the wide-open NFC North and have a core of young skill talent that can make them dangerous. The Chiefs are undermanned to begin the 2023 campaign, missing key star players on both sides of the ball. But the Chiefs are well, the Chiefs, and remain a threat to drop 35-plus points every time Mahomes and company step onto the field. Let’s break this matchup down and see if we can spot some potential edges or strategies for those playing single-game slates.

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Game Environment

Lions (+7, 24.00) @ Chiefs (-7, 28.50); Over/Under 52.5

^{This chart represents the general offensive strategies for each team when the game outcome is still in question (win probability between 20& and 80%). The final two minutes of each half are also excluded. We’ll include last year’s statistics through Week 4 of the regular season. Teams in the upper-right quadrant pass more often and play faster than the average NFL team in neutral game scripts, and conversely, teams in the lower-right quadrant play slower and run more often than the average NFL team.}