NBA Player Prop Bets: MotorCade is Off to the Races!
We are off to a hot start in the NBA, with the early games so far having a playoff-like vibe to them. Last night, after Los Angeles Lakers head coach Devin Ham said Lebron James would have his minutes restricted to around 29, and then kept him in for 35 minutes and played most of the 4th Quarter. Ham was playing to win like his coaching job depended on it.
Want more of my in-depth NBA Player Prop bets? I release 3+ player props per day in 4for4’s betting discord! You can get 25% off an already discounted price with code “NBA25!” You can also get a subscription for as low as $5 with our newest partners!
Get a full year of our subscription for as low as $10, or 3 months for $5! Find out how.
October 27th NBA Player Prop Bets
Last night was an incredible night in the Discord, with all four of my official plays hitting and an Anthony Davis alternate line of 30+ Points hitting for +400, giving subscribers a net +5 units. Tonight, we will run it back with an 11-game slate and lots of information to unpack now that we have seen all 30 teams play at least once.
Cade Cunningham (DET) Over 22.5 Points (-119 CZRS, -125 BetMGM, Barstool)
This is playable to 23.5 -125.
Cade Cunningham showed in his first game of the season that he is back, with no rust, and there was no setback in development from missing so many games last season. In Game 1 vs the MIA Heat, Cade played 36 minutes and 30 points, including four from 3-point range. His usage was 35%, a 5% increase from last year, and I have every reason this is going to be sustained. This was all while playing against the Rockets for what was the 4th slowest-paced game of the early games so far this season.
Next up are the Hornets, who played the 9th fastest pace. I expect DET to want to play up to the Hornets' pace, if not faster. This is a prime spot for Cade, and for no reason, this line should be 22.5 unless we are using last year's usage, and even then, it is a conservative projection for minutes.
Risk: 1.19 units to win 1 unit.
Donovan Mitchell (CLE) Under 30.5 Points (-115 Bet365)
I am projecting Mitchell for 35 minutes and 27.4 points. This line is just too high and would project a 75th-percentile outcome. The 30.5 line gives us a 3-point margin with plenty of outs this goes under. The line was set at 30.5 as it reflects the split between Darius Garland on the court versus off the court. While Darius Garland started the day listed as Questionable, I am projecting him to play. This is the uncertainty here with Mitchell. However, the outcome of him going under has more paths than the over in this situation. The under can bust if Garland sits, and Mitchell plays close to 40 minutes. The path for the under to hit includes, but not limited to, if Garland plays and we see Mitchell’s normal usage and minutes.
One of those additional paths for the under is that the Cavaliers and Thunder are tied for the tenth slowest pace so far in this early season.
Risk: 1.15 units to win 1 unit
For the most up-to-date picks subscribe to our Discord. This sheet from Dan Rivera tracks all my betting picks (and those from the rest of the betting staff) for the year. Just click on the tab with my name on it for the results.
This article is intended for entertainment purposes and adult users only. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem.
