FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Week 16 GPP Breakdown

Dec 23, 2023

Junfu Han-USA TODAY Sports

In this space each week will be the top stacks, contrarian plays, and strategies to attack GPPs on both FanDuel and DraftKings. The backbone of our player pool is value, as highlighted by 4for4’s proprietary value metric, which goes beyond simple point-per-dollar projections. To be successful in GPPs, however, it’s essential to be unique and that can be accomplished by combining knowledge from 4for4’s suite of DFS tools including ownership projections, leverage scores, correlation, and stack values.

Even with all of these resources at our disposal, adjusting for game type is essential. For example, someone playing the Millionaire Maker shouldn’t have the same approach as someone entering a $300 single-entry contest with 150 entries. For nuanced explanations on game selection and lineup construction, be sure to check out 4for4’s DFS Strategy Hub and DFS MVP game theory segments.

Note: Many of 4for4’s value plays should be in your GPP player pool but may not necessarily be written about below. Most starters on teams with high implied totals are worthy of being rostered but players in this breakdown are those to be overweight on.

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More Week 16 DFS Strategy: Top Values and Cash Plays | WR/CB Matchups | Ownership Projections | Leverage Scores

Popular Games to Target

Lions @ Vikings (+2.5); O/U 47.5

Justin Fields ($7,100 DraftKings/$8,300 FanDuel) will be the highest rostered quarterback on this slate by a wide margin, and if he fails to hit his ceiling, it’s anyone’s guess which signal-caller takes tournaments down. Hence why Nick Mullens ($5,300 DK/$7,000 FD) is checking in as a popular option to spend down for indoors. And it’s a viable strategy: both Russell Wilson (7-6-1) and Fields (12-58-1) had success on the ground against Detroit the last two weeks, emphasizing Mullens’ six carries in his first start against the Bengals.