Thanksgiving Slate Ownership Outlook
Pinpointing players who return great value but are low-owned is key to taking down large tournaments. Below are the ownership levels for players on the 2015 Thanksgiving slate. These were found by entering a Monday-Thursday GPP on FanDuel, as the site allows users to see ownership percentages of any player they roster.
To get an idea of the ownership percentages on other sites, we'll have to extrapolate the FanDuel results (and also account for pivots from the Monday plays). A couple of things to keep in mind:
- Use common sense: if players have a large discrepancy between their FanDuel price and whatever site you're playing on, obviously you have to take that into account. Remember that FanDuel is 0.5 PPR, so pass-catching running backs may be more popular on full-PPR sites.
- Also note that these lineups are from Monday night, so if injury news has broken since, it can change things up, especially for other players in the same salary range as the players affected by injuries.
- Furthermore, remember that these percentages come from small stakes contests; in higher stakes, the gap between the most popular plays and the less popular ones may not be as great.
- Finally, keep in mind that when Monday plays are taken out of the equation, the rest of the players may not necessarily simply see proportional increases in ownership -- it's very possible that one player will see a disproportionate increase compared to the rest of the pool.
Predicting ownership is more art than science, and this is by no means a perfect system. However, by looking at a ranked list of ownership percentages on a popular site like FanDuel, we can get a decent picture of how the consensus feels about all of the different plays in a given week across the industry.
Note: This week's contest was FanDuel's Monday-Thursday $2 Snap.
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