Aaron Jones
  • Aaron Jones

  • RB
  • , Minnesota Vikings
  • 30
  • 208 lbs
  • 5' 10"
  • Texas-El Paso
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Scouting report

by Joe Redemann

GB RB Aaron Jones - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Baltimore Ravens
Since returning from injury in Week 12, Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones has touched the ball 18 times. On those 18 touches, he has accrued 88 yards from scrimmage, including two goal-line chances that went for scores and three receptions. Obviously, the Packers are still working their star rusher back into the rotation, but Jones' knee and now an illness have conspired to slow that timetable a bit more than fantasy managers surely hoped for.

Week 15 brings Jones up against the toughest defense by schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to running backs, the Baltimore Ravens. Making matters worse, Jones has continued to split ground work with backup A.J. Dillon, hampering his fantasy ceiling. Still, Jones is the receiving back for Green Bay, so he has a better floor than others in his position. If he plays in Week 15, our models like Jones as a middle-of-the-road fantasy RB2.

by Joe Redemann

GB RB Aaron Jones - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 vs. Chicago Bears
Last week saw Aaron Jones operating as A.J. Dillon's change-of-pace back while their Green Bay Packers romped all over the vaunted Rams' defense. Jones was playing in his first game back from a knee injury, however, and still saw 10 touches. With his recovery timeline remaining delay-free, there's a good chance Jones reclaims his top role in the Packers' backfield for Week 14.

If he does, it would be just in time to compete with the Chicago Bears' defense, which ranks eighth-lowest in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to running backs in 2021. There are enough questions about Jones that it's wise to consider his floor in the RB3/FLEX range for Week 14. His ceiling, however, slots him back into the top-12 at his position despite the tough matchup. In spite of a fairly wide range of outcomes, Jones is worth the risk in the waning weeks of the fantasy season.

by Joe Redemann

GB RB Aaron Jones - Week 12 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 12 vs. Los Angeles Rams
Aaron Jones (knee) suffered an injury in Week 10 and is currently still expected to be out for Week 12's game on Sunday. He partook in Wednesday's practice walkthrough and practiced again on Thursday (though it's unclear how much of his activity was non-contact), so there is some optimism. Head coach Matt LaFleur has said the Green Bay Packers will evaluate Jones as a game-time decision on Sunday, but Jones' Week 12 usage ceiling seems likely to be a sparingly-used change-up back due to A.J. Dillon's emergence and the Packers' expected caution with their backfield superstar.

by Joe Redemann

GB RB Aaron Jones - Week 11 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 11 at Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones suffered a knee (MCL) sprain in Week 10 that will sideline him for a minimum of one to two weeks. A.J. Dillon is filling in for his role in the meantime.

by Joe Redemann

GB RB Aaron Jones - Week 10 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 10 vs. Seattle Seahawks
There are a lot of swirling, complicated factors at play for the Green Bay Packers in Week 10, but one steady component of their offense is star running back Aaron Jones. Despite not getting as significant of an opportunity share in relation to backfield-mate A.J. Dillon, Jones out-snapped his backup by a wide margin in Week 9. The one issue with Jones' usage was a lack of targets in the passing game, but he has done well enough in that area every other week to not merit much concern going forward.

In Week 10, it remains to be seen which quarterback lines up under center, but our models project Jones for his usual dosage of 15-20 touches that sustain him as a low-end RB1 for fantasy purposes. The Seattle Seahawks rank third-highest in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to running backs, which elevates the rusher's ceiling significantly here.

by Joe Redemann

GB RB Aaron Jones - Week 9 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 9 at Kansas City

With greenhorn quarterback Jordan Love making his first career start under center, the offense will likely be driven through the run game – particularly through star running back Aaron Jones. Jones has over 100 scrimmage yards in six of eight games in 2021, and has an extremely high fantasy floor in any given week due to his potent combo of high running back rush share, high target share, and strong goal-line usage.

Week 9 presents a somewhat middling matchup for Jones with Kansas City's 15th-toughest ranked defense by schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to running backs. The high usage he'll likely see boosts his likely diminished efficiency, however, as KC will almost certainly stack the box against him. Our models still project Jones as a volume-based mid-range RB1 this week.

by Joe Redemann

GB RB Aaron Jones - Week 8 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 8 at Arizona Cardinals

Despite a mediocre performance in Week 7, Aaron Jones remains a strong option in fantasy football going forward. Turnovers led to Jones' Green Bay Packers having tons of short fields late in the game, which meant odd game script where the running backs weren't used as clock killers. The Pack were also up by two scores, which meant the pace of the game was slow and the backfield wasn't deployed as receivers either. Don't take much from that; Jones still had five targets.

Week 8 will see a much stiffer opponent in the Arizona Cardinals, who are dead-last in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to running backs. Jones still projects as a top-10 fantasy back in our models, and a spate of COVID-19 tracing absences in the wide receiver room should lead to more workload through the air. Despite the poor matchup, Jones has a solid enough fantasy floor due to likely monopolizing backfield and receiving opportunities.

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