Fantasy Upside
Adam Thielen arrived out of nowhere last year in his third season in the NFL. He finished with a team-leading 967 receiving yards on 69 receptions. He was the team’s big-play receiver as he had 16 plays of 20 yards or more on the season. He managed to finish the season with big numbers, despite only averaging 5.8 targets per game. Heading into 2017, Thielen enters as the No. 2 option behind Stefon Diggs.
Fantasy Downside
A lot of Thielen’s numbers are inflated due to an insane 12-catch, 202-yard, 2-touchdown game against the Packers late in the season. We’re likely not going to see that type of game from him again, and if you take that performance away, Thielen’s overall numbers don’t look quite as strong. Also, Thielen may be the No. 2 receiver, but he’s behind Kyle Rudolph and potentially even Dalvin Cook in terms of looks from the quarterback.
2017 Bottom Line
Thielen has some upside and is worth a late-round pick in fantasy drafts, but don’t expect another season like last year. This is a run-first team, and Thielen is at least the No. 3 option in the passing game. There’s always a chance he recaptures last season’s magic, and if so, then he’s worth a roster spot, but it’s better to realize it’s unlikely to happen.