Calvin Ridley Fantasy Football Week 19 Scouting Report

Calvin Ridley
WR
, Tennessee Titans

Age: 31
Weight: 190 lbs
Height: 6' 1"
College: Alabama

ADP: 68
Depth Chart Ranking: 1

Pts	RecYds	RecTD	Rec	RuYds
135.2	1017	4	64	55

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Scouting report

by Pete Behnke

· Sep 27, 2019 · 12:07 PM EDT

ATL WR Calvin Ridley - Week 4 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 4 vs. Tennessee Titans

Unlike Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley had a forgettable Week 3 against the Colts. He finished with one reception on one target for six yards, 3% of the team targets, and 2% of the team air yards. After the game, Ridley said, “It was hard to get open” against a zone heavy Colts defense. Despite the poor performance, Ridley is the Half PPR WR30 through the first three weeks.

Ridley will look to bounce back against the Titans this week but may have trouble getting open again because the Titans are ranked fifth best against wide receivers, according to our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. 4for4 rankings expert John Paulsen has Ridley ranked as the Half PPR WR30. Ridley has a decent amount of upside on a weekly basis but his floor is lower against a strong Titans secondary.

by Pete Behnke

· Sep 20, 2019 · 1:01 PM EDT

ATL WR Calvin Ridley - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 at Indianapolis Colts

Last year, Ridley finished with an astounding 10 touchdowns in his rookie season and he hasn’t taken his foot off the gas pedal. In two weeks, he has 12 receptions for 169 yards and two touchdowns. In Week 2, Ridley exploited the Eagles for eight receptions on 10 targets for 105 yards, one touchdown, 23% of the team targets, and 40% of the team air yards.

Ridley draws a juicy matchup against the Colts who scheme towards playing Cover 3 zone coverage. The coverage will help to prevent deep touchdown passes but Ridley could be peppered with targets if he is able to recognize and sit down in the holes created by the zone. 4for4’s rankings expert John Paulsen has Ridley ranked as the Half PPR WR17 and is a safe start for fantasy owners.

by Pete Behnke

· Sep 13, 2019 · 3:07 PM EDT

ATL WR Calvin Ridley - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Ridley was one of the only bright spots for the Falcons in Week 1. He finished with four receptions on six targets for 64 yards, one touchdown, 13% of the team targets, and 22% of the team air yards. He finished as the Half PPR WR25 with 14.4 fantasy points. Ridley continues to be a highly efficient receiver but he will need more volume to regularly put up WR2 fantasy numbers.

An increased workload could start this week because the Falcons are implied for 25.25 points at home and will face an Eagles secondary who gave up 380 yards against the Washington Redskins in Week 1. The Eagles are ranked seventh-worst against wide receivers according to our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. 4for4 rankings expert, John Paulsen has Ridley ranked as the Half PPR WR22 and is flex worthy in a potential shootout (Over/Under: 52.5).

by Pete Behnke

· Sep 06, 2019 · 9:10 AM EDT

ATL WR Calvin Ridley - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 at Minnesota Vikings

Ridley finished his rookie season with 10 touchdowns, which was tied for the fourth-highest in the entire league. The only receivers to score more touchdowns than Ridley were Antonio Brown, Davante Adams, and DeAndre Hopkins. Ridley finished as the WR19 in half PPR scoring settings but he was a boom or bust type of player. In half PPR scoring, he finished as a WR1 in 31.25% of his games, WR2 in 0%, WR3 in 12.5%, and as a WR4 or worse in 56.25%.

Game script is very difficult to predict in the NFL but it is worth noting the Falcons are road underdogs (+4) and might be forced to throw more often than normal to stay competitive. The matchup against the Vikings is less than ideal as shown by our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric that has the Vikings ranked third best against wide receivers. 4for4’s rankings expert John Paulsen has Ridley as the PPR WR30 in Week 1 with a median projection of 12.1 fantasy points.

by Pete Behnke

· Jul 21, 2019 · 12:07 PM EDT

ATL WR Calvin Ridley - 2019 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Generally, it takes a wide receiver at least a year or two before they have a breakout season at the NFL level. Ridley managed to break the mold and shatter expectations in his rookie year. He finished with 10 touchdowns, which was tied for fourth-best in the entire league. The only receivers to score more touchdowns than Ridley were Antonio Brown, Davante Adams, and DeAndre Hopkins. Speaking of elite company, Ian Hartitz noted Ridley, Mike Evans and Odell Beckham Jr. are the only receivers to score ten or more touchdowns in their rookie seasons within the last five years. Ridley’s best performance of the year came in Week 3 against the New Orleans Saints. He had seven receptions, 146 yards, and three touchdowns. He followed up that performance with four receptions, 54 yards, and two touchdowns against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 4. This year, the Falcons will face the ninth-easiest wide receiver schedule, according to 4for4's schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed.

Fantasy Downside
Ridley finished as the WR19 in half PPR scoring settings but he was a boom or bust type of player. In half PPR scoring, he finished as a WR1 in 31.25% of his games, WR2 in 0%, WR3 in 12.5%, and as a WR4 or worse in 56.25%. He scored a total of 10 touchdowns but half of his touchdowns came in a two-game span. Ridley finished the season with 64 receptions, which means he had a wildly efficient touchdown rate of 15.6%. Before drafting Ridley, you need to ask yourself if you think he can sustain these numbers in his second season.

2019 Bottom Line
Ridley’s efficiency metrics scream negative regression but he may be able to overcome some of it with increased opportunity. Last season, his team target share was only 15% and the market share of team air yards was only 17%. Julio Jones should continue to receive the majority of targets but Ridley has the potential to bite into Mohamed Sanu’s 15% team target share. Ridley will continue to have week winning upside but it might be difficult to predict when those breakout games happen.

by Anthony Stalter

· Dec 28, 2018 · 12:26 PM EST

ATL WR Calvin Ridley - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 at Tampa Bay Bucs

Calvin Ridley caught three-of-five targets for 90 yards and a touchdown in the Falcons’ Week 16 win over the Panthers. The rookie had just one touchdown since the middle of October but scored on the first play of the second half when he caught a 75-yard pass from Matt Ryan. Ridley took advantage of busted coverage and went untouched on the play. Ranked as our WR22 for Week 17, Ridley has WR3 appeal when the Falcons visit the Bucs on Sunday.

by Anthony Stalter

· Dec 20, 2018 · 10:10 PM EST

ATL WR Calvin Ridley - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 at Carolina Panthers

Calvin Ridley caught five-of-seven targets for 42 yards in the Falcons’ Week 15 win over the Cardinals. Nobody expected Ridley to keep up the scoring pace that he set earlier in the year and he has been held to fewer than 55 yards in nine of his last 11 games. Ridley does have some WR3 appeal for Week 16 but that comes with a caveat. Julio Jones is dealing with a hip injury that kept him from practicing on Wednesday. With the Falcons officially eliminated from playoff contention, they could choose to shut Jones down. If he doesn’t play in Week 16, Ridley could see a boost in targets and put him on the WR3 map in a good matchup against a Panthers defense that ranks 22nd against fantasy receivers. For now, Ridley ranks as our WR31 and if Jones suits up, Ridley will be nothing but a dart throw for Week 16.