Fantasy Upside
We have Chris Olave as the WR14 in our projections with 87 receptions, 1,140 yards, and five trips to the end zone. That's his career-high so far on all accounts but a third-year leap that includes eight or so touchdowns seems possible here. An extra three touchdowns would vault him up to WR7, leapfrogging Garrett Wilson.
Fantasy Downside
The downside here would be that he doesn't get the touchdowns we're hoping for and Alvin Kamara returns to Kamara-like levels of fantasy scoring. If that happens we could see something closer to the 72 reception, 1,042-yard season that Olave had in his rookie year. That would drop him down into WR24 territory which would be a tough return on his ADP.
2024 Bottom Line
As always, the truth lies somewhere in the middle. Olave's current projection seems fair and he's being drafted at the right price. It's hard to envision a top 3 season from him and there are guys in his range that have that upside.