Fantasy Upside
Christian McCaffrey is coming off a fantastic season. For a player viewed largely as a complementary back coming out of college, he was a workhorse for the Panthers in 2018. He was on the field for 91% of the team’s offensive snaps, was sixth in the NFL in rushing yards and eighth in receptions. He led all running backs with 107 catches and finished the season with 1,965 total yards from scrimmage and 13 touchdowns – not to mention a 50-yard touchdown pass to Chris Manhertz against the Saints in Week 15. McCaffrey is dynamite with the ball in his hands and is the key to the Panthers’ offense.
Fantasy Downside
It’s hard to imagine McCaffrey repeating the successes of last year. He was simply too good not to expect some sort of natural regression. He also touched the ball 326 times last season, a heavy workload for a guy weighing just a hair over 200 pounds. That kind of work could lead to some durability issues, although he’s been healthy through two seasons thus far and is only 23 years old. It’s possible the Panthers reduce his carries in the run game this year in order to protect him so he can continue to be an active part of the passing game.
2019 Bottom Line
There’s really not a lot of downside to McCaffrey, especially in PPR formats. Even if he reduces his rushing workload, he’s caught 187 passes over the past two seasons and his nose for the end zone should give him a tremendously high floor in all league formats. Entering his second year in the same offense, McCaffrey should have no trouble putting up reliable RB1 numbers each and every week. He’s a top pick on our board and is worth every bit of his 1.03 ADP.