Fantasy Upside
The Bears traded away Jordan Howard in the offseason and selected David Montgomery in the third round of the NFL Draft. In his final two seasons with Iowa State, Montgomery finished with 2,816 scrimmage yards. He’s projected to start for Chicago right away, and he’ll be much more of a receiving threat than Howard was in Chicago. He steps into a great offense under Matt Nagy and should benefit from the Bears’ stout defense as Chicago will likely lean on the rushing attack late in games.
Fantasy Downside
While Montgomery should have a great rookie season, we can’t ignore the presence of Tarik Cohen and free-agent acquisition Mike Davis. Cohen has proven to be a great third-down/change-of-pace back and Davis is just good enough to limit Montgomery’s full potential. When Davis was asked about the usage of all three guys he said, “We all can be on the field at the same time. It's going to be crazy the things we do as far as of all three of us being on the field.”
2019 Bottom Line
Montgomery is an exciting prospect. He’s a talented running back, stepping into a great offensive system, but there is a fair amount of risk in the fact he’s a rookie and Chicago could make this a committee backfield. A lot of his value will come from how much Chicago ends up using Davis. If Davis has a small role, then Montgomery will be worth his current ADP, but if Davis has a larger role than expected, then this could end up being a bad value pick.