2022 Fantasy Upside
David Montgomery finished 10th among running backs in total touches last season, despite missing four games. He averaged over 20 touches per game (which is something he also accomplished in 2020). And he managed to do that even with a talented Khalil Herbert behind him on the depth chart. Montgomery should continue to have a heavy workload heading into 2022 as he’ll likely have a similar role to last season. Not only does Montgomery have a high number of touches, but he turns it into production with 1,150 scrimmage yards in 13 games last season (88 yards per game). He was RB16 in average scoring among running backs with at least 10 games played in 2021.
2022 Fantasy Downside
While the massive amount of touches are nice, it only works if Montgomery is able to get production out of it. The Bears have the lowest-ranked offensive line in 4for4’s Justin Edwards’ rankings. And that showed last season as Montgomery averaged 3.8 yards per carry. With the Bears’ weak passing attack, teams will likely focus in on stopping the run, which will make life difficult for Montgomery. Chicago could also look to utilize their other running backs more this season as Herbert showed a lot of promise as a rookie. Chicago also brought in 2020 3rd-round pick Darrynton Evans this offseason, who won’t have a huge role, but could still cut into Montgomery’s touches.
2022 Bottom Line
While Montgomery will be the RB1 in this offense, we don’t anticipate him averaging 20 touches per game for a third consecutive year. It’ll likely be down more around 15, which is still high, but in a bad offense, every touch matters. Montgomery has some obvious downsides, but that almost works in his favor. Montgomery’s ADP has dipped low enough to where he's a decent value. He’s a 25-year-old running back (which is usually when we see that position peak) who should see at least 250 touches. Even though it’s not an ideal situation, Montgomery has high-end RB2 potential, and should be viewed as a mid-range RB2 option heading into 2022.