Fantasy Upside
When not on the injury report last year, Parker averaged 11 PPR fantasy points per game—WR3 numbers. He also continues to wow in training camp. The Dolphins have indicated a contract extension is not forthcoming for Jarvis Landry either, meaning more targets could come Parker's way, especially in the red zone.
Fantasy Downside
The Dolphins re-signed Kenny Stills and are relying on the run more than the pass with Jay Ajayi at running back. Miami was the fourth-most run heavy team in the league last year. Parker's 5.9 targets per game were 77th in the NFL. Parker must do more with less target volume to be relevant.
2017 Bottom Line
An argument could be made for Parker in best-ball leagues, where you don't have to set a lineup. However, in redraft leagues, it's hard to spend the draft capital on a receiver who only saw 5.9 targets per game and is on a team that added another pass-catcher to last year's group (tight end Julius Thomas). Part of the lack of targets in the Miami offense could be attributed to being last in the NFL in plays. If that regresses closer to the league average, there could be more opportunities for Parker in his third year. At his late-ninth/early-10th round ADP, Parker could be worth a flier, but we like a couple of other receivers better at that point in the draft in our 4for4 rankings who should see more volume.
