Fantasy Upside
Scouts had their tongues hanging out watching Parker as he came out of college last season. That’s why the Dolphins spent a first round pick on him. Injuries kept him off the field for much of his rookie season, but from Week 12 to Week 17, Parker averaged 3.7-74.2-0.5. Those 14.1 FP/G in PPR would have matched Allen Hurns for WR18 last season. And get this: those 10.4 FP/G in standard scoring would have been good enough to finish ahead of Eric Decker for WR9. How’s that for fantasy upside?
Fantasy Downside
Jarvis Landry is still a part of this offense gobbling up targets, the 6th most in the NFL in 2016. Plus, Adam Gase is an offensive minded coach but has been more run heavy than most realize. Gase has been in the bottom half of the NFL in pass play percentage the past two seasons, even with Peyton Manning in Denver in 2014. The Bears went from #2 in pass play percentage in 2014 to #25 under Gase in 2016. Does that leave enough targets for Parker to be successful, and will they be quality targets with Ryan Tannehill at quarterback?
Bottom Line
There’s no denying Parker’s big play ability. He is a large and athletic talent. However, it appears he may be more valuable in standard leagues than PPR with Landry’s presence and Gase’s tendencies of late. Parker is only a low WR3 to us in PPR leagues, and somebody most should probably pass on with his 6th round ADP in 12-team leagues. Donte Moncrief and Michael Crabtree are better PPR targets at WR to us at that point in the draft. However in standard leagues, Parker bumps up a handful of spots from his PPR ranking.