Fantasy Upside
After a slow start to his rookie season, D.J. Moore improved over the second half. Over his final seven games, he was targeted at least seven times in all but one and he had an explosive outing against the Lions on November 11th, with seven catches, 157 yards and a touchdown. Moore finished the season with 788 yards and with Devin Funchess gone to the Colts in free agency, he enters 2019 as the top receiver on the Carolina depth chart. Moore has speed, talent and tremendous upside as a potential WR1 in a Norv Turner offense.
Fantasy Downside
I say Norv Turner offense because he’s always been pretty kind to passers and pass-catchers, but it’s possible that the statement is a little outdated. His recent three-year stint in Minnesota failed to produce a top-ten receiver and his last elite pass-catcher was Josh Gordon with the Browns back in 2013. Also, quarterback Cam Newton is not aging well. He’s been nicked up in each of the past three seasons – although he’s mostly played through his nagging injuries – and had shoulder surgery during the offseason. If this is the year Newton falls apart, it’ll be hard for Moore to have the breakout season everyone expects. Also, Moore only found the end zone twice last year, so all the hype may be a bit premature.
2019 Bottom Line
Moore is a bit of a lottery ticket, but his sixth-round ADP in 12-team leagues makes it hard to pull the trigger on him. Two rounds later he becomes someone with enough upside to warrant the risk, but sixth round makes him a fringe WR2/WR3 on your roster, and that’s expecting a whole lot of progression in his second season for that kind of investment. That being said, Moore does have great upside, and he’s not someone to avoid by any means. Owners just need to know he’s far from a sure thing.