Fantasy Upside
Playing for the first time without top target Jimmy Graham after the tight end was traded to Seattle in the offseason, Drew Brees finished his 15th NFL season by passing for 4,850 yards and 32 touchdowns. For comparison sake, he finished as fantasy's QB6 in 2014 and matched that ranking last year despite not having Graham. Although he suffered a shoulder injury in Week 3, Brees improved his yards-per-attempt mark slightly from 7.5 in 2014 to 7.8 in 2015. He also completed over 68 percent of his passes for a third straight season. This past offseason, the Saints added two new weapons for Brees to throw to in former Colts tight end Coby Fleener (a free agent) and second-round pick Michael Thomas, a receiver out of Ohio State. Fleener and Thomas join an arsenal that already includes Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead.
Fantasy Downside
Brees is 37 and did miss a game for the first time in seven seasons when a shoulder injury kept him out of a Week 3 loss to the Panthers. At his age, there's no telling when the signal-caller's production will fall off a cliff and leave fantasy owners scrambling for a replacement. The Saints also face some tough defenses in 2016, mainly Carolina (twice), Seattle, Kansas City, Denver, Arizona and Los Angeles, which sacked Brees four times in a 2013 victory in St. Louis.
2016 Bottom Line
Even at 37, Brees doesn't appear ready to slow down and remains a top-5 fantasy quarterback. His current ADP is 6.09 for 10-team leagues and ranks as our QB5 behind only Cam Newton, Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck. The Saints do face a tough schedule in 2016, but Sean Payton remains one of the best play-callers and offensive schemers in the league. Plus the additions of Fleener and Thomas should only help Brees maintain his fantasy production.