Fantasy Upside
Duke Johnson was a stud in 2017 when he topped 1,000 scrimmage yards with seven touchdowns and 74 receptions. His play on the field wasn’t bad in 2018, but he didn’t see nearly as many opportunities as Carlos Hyde and Nick Chubb were featured in the backfield. But when Johnson was on the field, he averaged five yards per carry and caught 47 passes for 429 yards and three touchdowns. He was a great receiving threat out of the backfield, leading the Browns in YAC (385).
Fantasy Downside
Johnson has requested a trade and has made it known he doesn’t want to stay around in Cleveland. If he does remain on the Browns, there’s a very limited role for him once Kareem Hunt returns from his suspension. Chubb is solidly in place as the starting back, and we saw what happened to Johnson’s touches in 2018 when Chubb took over (he went from averaging 33 offensive snaps per game to 26).
2019 Bottom Line
Johnson offers little value on the Browns if he stays. At best he’d be a low-end RB3/flex play in deeper PPR leagues. Johnson’s value largely depends on whether he gets traded before the season. One rumored team was the Tampa Bay Bucs, and if he lands there then his value should go up as it’s a better opportunity than what he has in Cleveland. Johnson isn’t much more than a gamble play later on in fantasy drafts.