Fantasy Upside
The trade of Nick Foles to Chicago this offseason was good news for Minshew. As a rookie who was just trying to find his way onto the field, Minshew quietly had at least 16 points in eight of his 12 starts in 2019. Minshew is also more mobile than he gets credit for -- he had at least 27 rushing yards in eight games -- but he will benefit from the pass-first mentality of new QB coach Ben McAdoo and offensive coordinator Jay Gruden. It will be Gruden's job to revitalize the offense with a more potent vertical passing game all while helping develop Minshew into a more polished quarterback. The belief is Gruden's West Coast offense scheme is a good fit for the second-year QB and should create more scoring opportunities.
Fantasy Downside
That's necessary because the Jaguars ranked near the bottom of the league last season in scoring at 26th (18.6) and were 31st in red zone TD scoring percentage (40.43).
2020 Bottom Line
The good news? Gruden's offense is designed around play-action passing, taking shots downfield and quick reads by the quarterback. Remember, Minshew flashed big-play ability, throwing 21 touchdowns to just six interceptions. Worth noting: His 129.0 QB Rating on passes that traveled at least 20 yards in the air was the best in the NFL, while Patrick Mahomes was the runner-up with a 122.9 QB rating.