Fantasy Upside
What a comeback for Geno Smith. He was left for dead after a failed stint with the Jets and backup roles with the Chargers and Giants. But after backing up Russell Wilson for a year, Wilson had a career year in 2022, throwing for 4,282 yards and 30 touchdowns and taking a Seahawks team that many thought would contend for the No. 1 pick in the draft to the playoffs. He was rewarded with a new contract and a new weapon after the Seahawks drafted Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the first round. So now he gets the trio of DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and JSN to throw to. Plus he runs the ball. Not a bad combo for fantasy purposes.
Fantasy Downside
Will Smith be a top-6 quarterback in fantasy again? Who knows? Some regression could be expected. Seattle also has a nice stable of running backs they would love to use, including Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet.
2023 Bottom Line
Smith may not be a top-6 quarterback like he was in 2022. But he presents very solid value at his current ADP around the 9th or 10th round as the 15th quarterback off the board. He can very well finish top 12 or even top 10 again. He's a fine option if you don't land the top ones.