Fantasy Upside
Jameis Winston started last year on a hot streak, as he had three straight games of 300+ passing yards before getting injured the next game, but then bounced back with another 300-yard game. If we discount games where he left early, Winston had 19 touchdowns in 11 games (plus 1 rushing score), giving him pretty solid production while he played.
He still has a great supporting cast around him in Mike Evans, DeSean Jackson, O.J. Howard, and Cameron Brate. If he can continue to put up similar numbers to last season, he should end up being a top QB option.
Fantasy Downside
The obvious thing holding Winston back is his three-game suspension to start the season. The Bucs’ bye comes in Week 5, which means Winston will miss most of the start of your fantasy season, and that’s a difficult start to overcome if you invest too much in the Bucs’ QB. There’s also his huge problem of holding on to the ball, as he had 18 turnovers in 13 games last season (and some of those games he left early).
2018 Bottom Line
Winston was fantastic when healthy last season, and he comes into 2018 with better surroundings. An improved offensive line and rushing attack are added to an already impressive receiving corps. Once Winston is eligible to play, he should be a great start. But his ADP takes a huge hit because of the suspension, meaning you should wait to take him until near the end of your draft.