Jared Goff
  • Jared Goff

  • QB
  • , Detroit Lions
  • 30
  • 217 lbs
  • 6' 4"
  • California
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Scouting report

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Dallas Cowboys
Jared Goff had a useful high-end QB2 fantasy performance in Week 14 against a Seahawks defense that ranks 17th in aFPA to quarterbacks, and he finished coincidentally as the QB17. Goff threw for 293 yards and two touchdowns but also threw two interceptions. Goff leaned heavily on both tight end Tyler Higbee with 11 targets and wide receiver Robert Woods with nine targets.

Goff's fantasy success has correlated heavily with how the opposing team ranks in aFPA allowed to quarterbacks, and that trend continued last week. The Rams face off against the Cowboys in Week 15, who rank 19th in aFPA to quarterbacks, slightly lower than the Seahawks, so expecting another high-end QB2 performance from Goff seems reasonable. The Cowboys defense is dealing with a number of injuries of varying severity, which improves Goff's prospects somewhat, but if you've made it to Week 15 in redraft playoffs, you almost certainly have a better option.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 at Seattle Seahawks
Jared Goff finally broke free from a three-week string of fantasy performances outside of the top 24 quarterbacks, finishing as the QB4 in Week 13 against a weak Cardinals pass defense. Goff's success is somewhat predictable, as he's faced six defenses with a top-10 aFPA to quarterbacks, and he's had a weekly finish outside of the top-24 quarterbacks in five of those six games. In four of the five games in which he's faced a defense among the bottom ten teams in quarterback aFPA, he's finished as a QB1.

The Seahawks, Goff's Week 14 opponent, rank 14th in aFPA to quarterbacks, though they appear to have improved defensively over the past few weeks. Goff faced the Seahawks in Week 5 and managed a QB12 finish for the week, which might represent his ceiling this week. A more reasonable expectation would for high-end QB2 scoring, and for week one of most fantasy playoffs, his a risky start.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 13 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 13 at Arizona Cardinals
Jared Goff put forth yet another disappointing fantasy performance in Week 12 with 212 passing yards and two interceptions, which led to his ranking as QB27 for the week. It was his third straight game without throwing a touchdown, and not coincidentally also his third straight game against a defense in the top ten in aFPA to quarterbacks. Outside of 2QB and superflex leagues, Goff has fallen off the radar as a viable fantasy starter.

Week 13 presents an oasis in the desert for Goff and the Rams, as they face a Cardinals defense allowing the highest aFPA in the league to opposing quarterbacks. While the matchup alone makes Goff enticing, the offensive struggles of the Rams make it difficult to project him as a QB1. This is probably the last week Goff should be anywhere near your starting lineup, as his next three matchups against the Seahawks, Cowboys, and 49ers all feature defenses among the top-12 in aFPA to quarterbacks.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 12 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 12 vs Baltimore Ravens
Jared Goff and the Rams' offense predictably struggled against the Bears defense in Week 11 with just 173 passing yards and an interception and ranked as the QB27 for the week after finishing as the QB26 for the week prior. Goff has seen pressure on more total dropbacks than all but four other quarterbacks, and he ranks as the fantasy QB21 through Week 11.

Goff gets no respite in Week 12, as he'll line up against a Baltimore defense that has improved significantly after some early-season inconsistency. The Ravens blitz more frequently than any other team, and their 12.9 aFPA to quarterbacks is the sixth-lowest figure. The addition of Marcus Peters has helped to turn a good secondary into a great one, while the Ravens have allowed a 20th-ranked aFPA to running backs. Goff is a shaky start at best as a low-end QB2.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 11 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 11 vs Chicago Bears
Jared Goff and the Rams returned from their Week 9 bye to face the Steelers and struggled against an ascending Pittsburgh defense. Goff threw for 243 yards along with no touchdowns and two interceptions and finished the week as the fantasy QB26 with 3.7 fantasy points. Goff gets no respite, as he now faces a Bears defense in Week 11 which owns the ninth-best aFPA to quarterbacks.

Goff has ranked outside of the top 24 quarterbacks for two of the past four weeks against the 49ers and Steelers, and his two other starts resulted in QB1 finishes but were against the Bengals and Falcons, who are both bottom-six in aFPA to quarterbacks. With Brandin Cooks already listed as out for this game, Goff will have a hard time returning anything more than mid-range QB2 value against the Bears.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 10 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 10 at Pittsburgh Steelers
Jared Goff took advantage of a Week 8 matchup with the Bengals, throwing for 372 yards and two touchdowns, making him the week's QB8. Goff entered the Rams' Week 9 bye as the QB14, with the team averaging 287.3 passing yards per game, the fifth-highest mark. Goff's fantasy value has been extremely matchup-dependent, as his four QB1 performances have all come against defenses in the bottom half of Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA) to quarterbacks.

Goff faces off against a Pittsburgh defense with an aFPA to quarterbacks of 13.1. Only the Patriots, 49ers, and Broncos have allowed a lower mark to the position. Making matters worse, wide receiver Brandin Cooks has already been ruled out for Week 10. While Josh Reynolds is a very capable next-man-up, Cooks owned the highest aDOT among Rams receivers, and the defensive attention he commands will be notably absent. The Rams have an excellent defense of their own, limiting the overall scoring upside for this game. Goff projects as a mid-range QB2 for Week 10, so there should be better starting options at your disposal.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 8 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 8 vs Cincinnati Bengals
Jared Goff bounced back from a poor Week 6 performance with a strong performance in Week 7 against the Falcons. Goff's 268 passing yards in addition to two passing touchdowns plus a rushing touchdown made him fantasy's QB5 for the week. He spread the ball around very effectively, and four different receivers finished with 50 or more receiving yards.

Goff draws a attractive matchup in Week 8 against a Bengals defense that's allowed 20.0 aFPA to quarterbacks, sixth-most in the league. Three of the past four quarterbacks against the Bengals have finished the week as a fantasy QB1, and the fourth was Gardner Minshew in Week 7 who just barely missed the QB1 mark as the QB13. Goff projects as a top-five fantasy option at the position this week.

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