J.K. Dobbins
  • J.K. Dobbins

  • RB
  • , Los Angeles Chargers
  • 26
  • 215 lbs
  • 5' 10"
  • Ohio State
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132.1726825115
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Scouting report

by Brendan Darr

LAC RB J.K. Dobbins - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 at Pittsburgh Steelers

One of the most surprising early season stories has been J.K. Dobbins and his career resurgence under Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman. While Dobbins has always been talented, he hasn't been healthy in years and hasn't looked this good since Ohio State.

The hot start might continue against a Pittsburgh defense that, while very good, has been a little easier to run on than pass on. That said, the Pittsburgh defense completely shut down Javonte Williams last week. Given the matchup, expectations should be managed a bit. Rather than the RB1 he has been, he's likely a back-end RB2 this week.

by Brendan Darr

LAC RB J.K. Dobbins - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 at Carolina Panthers

While the touches suggest that the Chargers backfield is closer to a 50/50 split, the efficiency says otherwise. J.K. Dobbs had 10 carries for 135 yards and a touchdown against the Raiders and also added 3 receptions as well. Dobbins is getting the passing-down work like we expected and also showed off some explosion we hadn't seen in years from him.

The Panthers let both Alvin Kamara and Jamaal Williams find the end zone last week and Kamara had a decent day through the air as well. Who knows if the Chargers get out to a 30-0 lead in the first half, but they probably won't even have to do that to commit fully to the run. Dobbins is a back-end RB2 this week in this matchup.

by Brendan Darr

LAC RB J.K. Dobbins - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Like Gus Edwards, and a few other former Ravens, J.K. Dobbins followed former Ravens offensive coordinator Greg Roman out to Los Angeles. Dobbins is projected for more of the pass-down work in the offense, but expect Edwards to have first crack at the goal line work.

Dobbins is more of a flex play this week. The Raiders aren't expected to be an imposing rush defense so Dobbins could be usable in fantasy on his efficiency behind a solid offensive line in Los Angeles, but the low total makes it a tougher ask we see a ceiling outcome.

by Brandon Niles

BAL RB J.K. Dobbins - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Houston Texans

J.K. Dobbins had a false start to the season last year, as he missed two games and then struggled through four outings before missing another six. When he finally got healthy and returned for a four-game stint toward the end of the year, he was pretty productive. He averaged 99.25 yards over that stretch, averaging 4.3 yards per carry. Dobbins was held to a lone reception and a single touchdown during that time, but he definitely showed the potential he has as a runner.

Dobbins is expected to be healthy to start the season, and as long as that doesn’t change, he has a heck of a matchup to kickoff the year. The Texans were dead last in aFPA to opposing running backs in 2022. While Houston should improve defensively with new additions to the roster and the coaching staff, it’s possible this game gets lopsided early and the running backs prevail. We have Dobbins listed as a RB2 option in a good matchup, and he gets a slight bump in non-PPR leagues.

by Brandon Niles

BAL RB J.K. Dobbins - 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
J.K. Dobbins had a false start to last season, injured heading into the year, then injured again after attempting to get going from Week 3 through Week 6. Coming off an ACL injury, it wasn’t surprising to see him struggle to get back to full strength right away. He finished the season strong. He was the RB14 during the four weeks he played late in the year, and finished 2022 with 520 yards and three touchdowns in eight games. He should be the primary ball-carrier in Baltimore heading into this season, giving him upside to continue where he left off in December.

Fantasy Downside
The injuries are an easy place to start when looking for downside, but the bigger concern with Dobbins is a change in offensive philosophy and the lack of activity in the passing game. Dobbins had just seven receptions in eight games last year. He averages just 1.4 targets per game in his short career. The arrival of Todd Monken at offensive coordinator isn’t expected to help in that aspect. Monken likes a downfield passing attack, which could reduce Dobbins’ touches. With Lamar Jackson already a threat to vulture touchdown opportunities, there’s a lot to be concerned about for managers banking on Dobbins for a big 2023 breakout.

2023 Bottom Line
Dobbins has upside now that he’s healthy and is the clear lead back in Baltimore, but the risks keep him from being a true fantasy RB1 target. Luckily, his ranking (RB20) and ADP (fourth round) reflect the risk of taking him. Dobbins is likely to continue the pace he was on at the end of last season, making him a viable RB2 option in most leagues. Draft him at cost.

by Brandon Niles

BAL RB J.K. Dobbins - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

J.K. Dobbins was held to 59 yards last week against the Falcons, but he still received 12 carries and clearly has a prominent role in the offense with double-digit touches in three straight games.

Dobbins has a tough matchup this week against a Steelers defense that ranks sixth in aFPA to opposing running backs. Expect another busy day for Dobbins, but with the tough matchup, he should be considered a fringe-RB2 at best.

by Brandon Niles

BAL RB J.K. Dobbins - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 vs. Atlanta Falcons

J.K. Dobbins put together another solid performance last week against the Browns, rushing for 125 yards on 13 carries. He led the backfield in touches and also was on the field for 38% of the team’s offensive snaps - more than double that of Gus Edwards.

This week, Dobbins faces a Falcons defense that ranks 14th in aFPA to opposing running backs. Expect another healthy dose of Dobbins and the Baltimore run game. The Ravens have really struggled offensively all season, but especially without Lamar Jackson, so temper expectations for Dobbins. Still, his workload should make him a viable RB2 option in most leagues.

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