Jonnu Smith

Fantasy Upside
Jonnu Smith has always been more upside than production in fantasy and that likely isn't changing in 2024 even now that he's in Mike McDaniel's high-flying offense. Smith is physically gifted but has never really put it all together on the field. That said, he set a career-high in targets, receptions, and yards in 2023 as a part-time player in Atlanta. While Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and likely De'Von Achane are ahead in the pecking order for targets, Smith's presence gives McDaniel an intriguing chess piece to get creative with.

Fantasy Downside
Smith is coming off the board at TE30 so there isn't a ton of downside at that price. Unless you are punting tight end entirely in best ball he's unlikely to be your TE1.

2024 Bottom Line
There really isn't a lot of downside in Smith's ADP as TE30 if you're going that deep at tight end. He's not going to be drafted in redraft leagues that aren't 2TE or TE Premium, so that leaves him as more of a target for best ball. The upside case of Mike McDaniel finding more creative ways to use him is intriguing enough to be a strong buy.

Week 14 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

It was a nice run while it lasted, but it seems Smith's time this season as a sleeper tight end option in fantasy is over. He has three catches for 11 yards since his 100-yard game in Week 9. He's simply not getting enough opportunities to be considered for lineups anymore. Even in the first Buccaneers game, he only had 27 yards.

Week 12 vs. New Orleans Saints

Jonnu Smith went from 100 yards and a touchdown in Week 9 to one yard in Week 10. There's too much fluctuation with Smith and he's still taking somewhat of a backseat to Kyle Pitts, who should be more involved himself. Even in a favorable matchup against New Orleans, Smith is almost touchdown-or-bust. That's fine as a TE2 but he's not a starter anytime soon.