Fantasy Upside
It was a break-through season for Josh Allen who now is considered one of the best fantasy quarterbacks in the NFL. The Bills upgraded the offensive weapons around him going into 2020 including the acquisition of receivers Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley. This enabled Allen to throw for 4,544 yards and 37 touchdown passes. He increased his passing yards by almost 1,500 yards from 2019. And although his rushing yards have steadily declined over the past two seasons, he is still a threat, especially in the red zone where he has 17 rushing touchdowns over the past two years.
Fantasy Downside
The big question is will there be some decline in Allen's numbers. The rest of the league has a good idea of who he is and what he is capable of and that will make NFL defensive coordinators focus even more on him. Also, can Buffalo get more out of their running backs in the running game? They don't have a premier back and even though Zack Moss and Devin Singletary were serviceable, will that hurt Allen's effectiveness with an average running game.
2021 Bottom Line
If you had Allen on your roster last season, you probably got him at great value in your draft. That will not happen in 2021 as he is the consensus No. 2 fantasy quarterback and his ADP has him going in the late third or early fourth round. The rushing numbers are key in keeping him at the top of the fantasy rankings as long as he keeps scoring touchdowns. Some might even venture to grab him earlier as the Bills offense should be better overall this season which could mean even better overall fantasy numbers for Allen.