Josh Allen
  • Josh Allen

  • QB
  • , Buffalo Bills
  • 28
  • 237 lbs
  • 6' 5"
  • Wyoming
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Scouting report

by Chris Kucharski

BUF QB Josh Allen - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 vs. Washington
Josh Allen's numbers actually went down in the win at Miami. He threw for 179 yards while completing only 52% of his passes. He did throw two touchdown passes but also added an interception. What's most discouraging two weeks into the season is the lack of scoring Allen is involved in. He has only accounted for three passing touchdowns and ZERO rushing scores. He had two or fewer total touchdowns in only 5-of-19 total games last season and already has 2-of-2 this season. Part of the attraction to Allen in the preseason was the touchdown production.

Allen will face a Washington defense that ranked 7th in aFPA to quarterbacks last season. This will be the third straight top 10 defense he has faced to start the season.

We expect those scoring numbers to get back to normal soon so stick with Allen as your starting quarterback. He is a top-five fantasy QB1 for Week 3.

by Chris Kucharski

BUF QB Josh Allen - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 at Miami
It was a disappointing Week 1 with Josh Allen being held in check by the Steelers defense. Although he threw the ball 51 times, the passing yardage total was 270 which is 5.3 yards per attempt. The Bills barely tried to run the ball and with the exception of one series, the running game wasn't successful. The most disappointing part of Allen's stats were he only generated one touchdown on the afternoon. He averaged over 2.5 per game last season.

It won't get much easier as Buffalo heads to Miami for a division game on the road. The Dolphins are ranked 11th in aFPA to quarterbacks after one week but have a defense that is considered above average. Last season, Allen threw 7 touchdown passes in the two games vs. Miami and also recorded a 400+ yard passing game.

With a tough matchup on the road, Allen might struggle with some of his stats again. However, he is still a solid QB1 for Week 2 based on what he is capable of and his track record against Miami. Start him in all leagues and formats.

by Chris Kucharski

BUF QB Josh Allen - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Pittsburgh
The Bills open up against a strong Pittsburgh defense. However, Josh Allen has beaten them the last two times he has faced them, but his numbers were modest. The good news is we might still even better play for the QB than last year as he continues to grow as one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.

Buffalo brought in Emmanuel Sanders to replace John Brown who was banged up a lot last season. So, that could be considered a slight upgrade and the rest of the skill players return for the Bills.

Pittsburgh ranked third in aFPA to quarterbacks in 2020 so this isn't a game where we expect record numbers for Allen. However, he should throw for 290 yards and be responsible for at least three touchdowns. Start him as a top 5 fantasy QB for Week 1.

by Chris Kucharski

BUF QB Josh Allen - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
It was a break-through season for Josh Allen who now is considered one of the best fantasy quarterbacks in the NFL. The Bills upgraded the offensive weapons around him going into 2020 including the acquisition of receivers Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley. This enabled Allen to throw for 4,544 yards and 37 touchdown passes. He increased his passing yards by almost 1,500 yards from 2019. And although his rushing yards have steadily declined over the past two seasons, he is still a threat, especially in the red zone where he has 17 rushing touchdowns over the past two years.

Fantasy Downside
The big question is will there be some decline in Allen's numbers. The rest of the league has a good idea of who he is and what he is capable of and that will make NFL defensive coordinators focus even more on him. Also, can Buffalo get more out of their running backs in the running game? They don't have a premier back and even though Zack Moss and Devin Singletary were serviceable, will that hurt Allen's effectiveness with an average running game.

2021 Bottom Line
If you had Allen on your roster last season, you probably got him at great value in your draft. That will not happen in 2021 as he is the consensus No. 2 fantasy quarterback and his ADP has him going in the late third or early fourth round. The rushing numbers are key in keeping him at the top of the fantasy rankings as long as he keeps scoring touchdowns. Some might even venture to grab him earlier as the Bills offense should be better overall this season which could mean even better overall fantasy numbers for Allen.

by Chris Kucharski

BUF QB Josh Allen - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. Miami
The Bills are playing for the No. 2 seed in the AFC so it appears Josh Allen will at least start. Last week, he continued his hot streak with 320 passing yards and four touchdown passes. Buffalo's offense with the exception of the first half of the Steelers game, has been on fire.

The Dolphins are up next and are ranked 11th in aFPA to quarterbacks. Miami is playing for their playoff lives so expect everyone who is healthy to be on the defensive side of the ball on Sunday for Miami. Allen threw for 415 yards and four touchdowns when they played the 'Fins back in Week 2.

Start Allen, but understand he might only play a half. He still rates a QB1 for Week 17 and the way he has been playing, a half might be enough. Head coach Sean McDermott says he has a plan but isn't revealing it.

by Chris Kucharski

BUF QB Josh Allen - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 at New England
Josh Allen had one of the best fantasy outings of the season for any quarterback throwing for 359 yards and two touchdowns. He also ran for 33 yards and another two touchdowns. Allen is playing just as well as anybody in the league at this point and has become a very reliable fantasy quarterback.

Allen will face the Patriots who are ranked seventh in aFPA to quarterbacks. In the first meeting this season, Allen only threw for 154 yards, zero touchdowns and an interception. However, both teams are playing at different levels right now and New England lost their best cornerback Stephon Gilmore to injury.

Start Allen in all leagues and formats for Week 16 as a solid QB1. Don't expect numbers like last week, but definitely better numbers than the first meeting between the two teams.

by Chris Kucharski

BUF QB Josh Allen - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Denver
Josh Allen had a strong performance, especially in the second half, against the Steelers. He threw for 238 yards, two touchdowns and an interception while also running for 28 yards. That's decent numbers against a very good defense and a victory for the Bills.

Allen will face another tough pass defense, this time on the road. The Broncos are ranked sixth in aFPA to quarterbacks. It will be interesting to see how he handles this game after the emotional win.

Start Allen despite the tough matchup. He ranks a solid QB1 for Week 15. He has proven he can handle big-time defenses this season and should still put up good numbers in Denver.

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