Fantasy Upside
Thomas takes his talents to Jacksonville this season after catching 12 TD passes in Denver last year. He is a big target for second-year quarterback Blake Bortles and will see plenty of targets in the Jaguars offense.
Fantasy Downside
A hand injury has sidelined Thomas for the entire preseason, robbing him of time to develop chemistry with Bortles. He'll require surgery that will put him out for the first month of the season. This Jaguars offense is also nowhere near as potent as the one he played in with the Broncos.
Bottom line
Thomas has bust written all over him in terms of where he's being drafted - rounds 7 to 9. He's not going to catch 12 TDs again this season and his other numbers - 43 catches for 489 yards - were nothing special. If Thomas puts up similar catch and yardage numbers this season with half the TD production, he is not worth his ADP.