2022 Fantasy Upside
Michael Pittman had a breakout season as a sophomore in 2021, catching 88 of 129 targets for 1,082 yards and six touchdowns. He finished as the WR21 in half-PPR formats despite the Colts ranking 27th in the league in pass attempts. Matt Ryan should be a quarterback upgrade over Carson Wentz. While the Colts are built to run the ball and win with excellent defense, the addition of Ryan could open up the playbook a little. Wentz was most effective last season when he wasn’t asked to do too much, and the play-calling seemed to reflect that. Pittman is big, talented, and seems to be getting better. It’s a good time to buy the third-year receiver out of USC.
2022 Fantasy Downside
While Pittman is definitely on the upswing, the Colts added Alec Pierce out of Cincinnati in the second round. While Pierce could draw attention away from Pittman, he also means Pittman isn’t the only game in town anymore and could draw targets away as well in an offense that already didn’t throw the ball a ton last year. Pittman also will need to find the end zone more frequently, and Ryan wasn’t necessarily good at providing touchdowns to his elite receivers in Atlanta. Here’s the list of players with double-digit touchdown passes in a season with Matt Ryan:
2018 – 10 – Calvin Ridley
2012 – 10 – Julio Jones
2010 – 10 – Roddy White
2009 – 11 – Roddy White
That’s it. Four times, three of which were a decade ago, and never more than 11 touchdowns. Sheesh.
2022 Bottom Line
Pittman is really good and has a ton of upside, but you’ll pay a premium for his services. He’s being drafted as the WR14 in the third round of drafts right now, seven slots higher than his 2021 finish. We’re bullish on his output though, ranking him as a fringe top-10 wide receiver and we think he’ll continue his ascension into WR1 status.