Fantasy Upside
Prior to missing 12 games last season with an ankle injury, Odell Beckham Jr. was a top-10 fantasy receiver in each of his first three seasons. Over his career, he averages 6.7 catches on 10.7 targets, 94.1 yards, and 0.8 touchdowns per game. He should remain the focal point of the Giants’ passing attack, and he’s proven himself to be one of the most talented receivers in football. He won’t even turn 26 until November. If there are no lingering effects from his ankle injury he should return to form. Also, new head coach Pat Shurmur had a positive effect on the fantasy production of Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen with the Vikings last year.
Fantasy Downside
Beckham can let his emotions get the best of him, as demonstrated by a suspension at the end of the 2015 season. Combined with him coming off an injury, his availability is an obvious concern. He may also lose some targets to tight end Evan Engram, who was fantastic as a rookie last year. Additionally, the drafting of Saquon Barkley second overall might lead to fewer pass attempts in general for the team. With a hefty contract in store for him, there have also been some trade rumblings.
2018 Bottom Line
If Beckham is ready to go, his tremendous upside is worth the potential risk, and he should be drafted as an elite WR1 in all league formats. He should be able to overcome trade rumors and any loss of targets to Engram or fellow receiver Sterling Shepard, and any change in emphasis to the offense. Shurmur and Manning should easily make use of their most talented pass-catcher, and he should go off the board in the late-first round of most fantasy drafts.