Patrick Mahomes
  • Patrick Mahomes

  • QB
  • , Kansas City Chiefs
  • 30
  • 225 lbs
  • 6' 2"
  • Texas Tech
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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 4 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 4 at Denver Broncos

Another week, another big game for Patrick Mahomes. He put up 314 yards and scored three touchdowns in what was statistically his worst game of the season. So when the bar is that high, you know you're having a good year. He set the NFL record for most touchdowns through the first three games (13) and he doesn't appear to be slowing down.

He gets a decent matchup this week against the Broncos. Denver is allowing the seventh-highest yards per attempt mark (8.2) this season, which bodes well for Mahomes' strong arm. Expect another big game from the young QB. We like him as a must-start QB option.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 vs. San Francisco 49ers

Patrick Mahomes has been the star of the NFL season so far, setting a record for most touchdowns through the first two games (10). Last week was just an insane performance as he completed 23-of-28 passes for 326 yards, 6 TDs and zero interceptions. Now, fantasy owners want to know: Will it continue?

We don't see an immediate reason why it has to end. We don't see him scoring six times each game, but he does get a favorable matchup this week against the 49ers. San Francisco has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing QBs this season, so Mahomes should keep up his hot streak. We like him a lot this week. He's a must-start option.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 at Pittsburgh Steelers

Patrick Mahomes looked incredible in his first game, finishing with 256 yards on just 15 completions (over 17 yards per completion). He added four scores and zero turnovers, while also rushing for 21 yards. Granted, he did so against a banged-up Chargers defense, but he certainly delivered last week.

He'll look to keep up his high production in Week 2 against the Steelers, who played fairly well against the pass in Week 1 vs. the Browns. But there's certainly nothing to be afraid of when it comes to Pittsburgh. We like Mahomes as one of the top QBs this week in fantasy.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 at Los Angeles Chargers

Patrick Mahomes begins 2018 as the Chiefs starting quarterback. While we like his potential for the season, he gets a rough start in Week 1. The Chargers have a strong defense, especially in their secondary, which will make it difficult for Mahomes.

He has weapons like Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins, who can break a big play at any moment, so there's always a possibility for some scoring. Overall, though, Mahomes will likely struggle this week. He's a good QB for 2018, but maybe just not right now in Week 1.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - 2018 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Alex Smith is gone, which means Patrick Mahomes will take over as Kansas City’s starter this season. The second-year quarterback has a strong arm and plenty of talent around him. The supporting cast of Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, and Kareem Hunt helped Smith become the fourth-highest scoring QB in fantasy last season. And the Chiefs even added speedster Sammy Watkins to the mix, which should make for a solid offensive group.

Fantasy Downside

While Mahomes isn’t technically a rookie, we can sort of view him as one since he doesn’t have a full season of playing under his belt. Rookie QBs have a hard time producing at a high level, as 34 out of 48 first-round QBs drafted since 2000 have failed to rank above 15 in total fantasy points. Obviously, Mahomes factors into that stat, so the numbers aren’t perfect, but it just gives you an idea of what to expect from a first-year QB.

2018 Bottom Line

There’s a lot to be excited about with Mahomes. He’s a great talent, who has even better talent around him, and a solid coaching staff with Andy Reid leading the way. He’s available in the later rounds, making him a solid sleeper choice for those wanting to wait on a quarterback. Mahomes has a very high ceiling in 2018, but it’s also important to not let your expectations run wild.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 at Denver Broncos

Patrick Mahomes will make his NFL debut this week. Mahomes is a promising young QB who was taken 10th overall in the draft and had an impressive preseason. There's a lot to like about Mahomes in the future, but fantasy owners should be skeptical about him this week.

Not only is it his first ever real NFL game, but he's going against one of the toughest secondaries in football. And the fact the Chiefs are starting him means he may be playing with other backup players as well.

Mahomes is intriguing, but this matchup and the circumstances make him hard to trust in fantasy. He's not a great option this week.

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