Fantasy Upside
Patrick Mahomes finished as the No. 4 QB last season in total points and No. 1 in average points per week (he missed Week 17 for rest). He improved on his 2019 season as he finished with 38 passing touchdowns compared to 26, and had 709 more passing yards. Even his rushing numbers improved with a career-high 308 yards (or 20.5 per game). Mahomes has his top weapons returning in Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, and he’ll be playing behind a much improved offensive line in 2021.
Fantasy Downside
While the Chiefs have arguably the best receiving duo in Hill and Kelce, that could also be the team’s downfall. No other player had more than 45 receptions for the Chiefs last season, and only one other player finished with more than 500 yards. One injury to Hill or Kelce could slow Mahomes’ production, especially with the loss of Sammy Watkins in the offseason.
2021 Bottom Line
There isn’t much to dislike about Mahomes in 2021. His ceiling is being the No. 1 scorer among QBs and his floor is similar to what he did in 2019, when he still finished as the No. 8 QB despite missing two games and dealing with injuries. He’s arguably the most talented quarterback in the league in a pass-heavy offense with top-tier playmakers. He should be viewed as the No. 1 QB option heading into this season.