Patrick Mahomes
  • Patrick Mahomes

  • QB
  • , Kansas City Chiefs
  • 30
  • 225 lbs
  • 6' 2"
  • Texas Tech
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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 4 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 4 at Philadelphia Eagles

Even when Patrick Mahomes has a "bad" game, it's still a highly productive one. In Week 3, the Chiefs quarterback had his second-lowest QB rating in the past two seasons, but he still finished with 260 pass yards, three touchdowns and 45 rush yards. That more than makes up for the two interceptions he had in the game. He gets a somewhat tough matchup this week against the Eagles, who have allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards in the league so far. But we're not too concerned about that. Mahomes should still be viewed as a must-start option in Week 4.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 vs. Los Angeles Chargers

In Week 2, Patrick Mahomes had nearly an identical stat line as Week 1 through the air. Week 1 had Mahomes finish with 337 yards and three touchdowns, and Week 2 had him finish with 343 yards and three touchdowns. The only difference being that Mahomes had a rushing score in the first week, and added an interception in the second week. Still, if Mahomes is going to keep finishing with 300+ yards and 3+ touchdowns then there's no reason to even read this weekly blurb. Having said that, Mahomes does get a tough matchup against the Chargers this week who have given up a total of 372 passing yards with one score. Although Mahomes did finish with over 300 yards in his game against the Chargers last season. He should be viewed as a must-start option in Week 3.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 @ Baltimore Ravens

Patrick Mahomes did Patrick Mahomes things in Week 1, finishing with 337 passing yards and three touchdowns. He even added 18 yards and another touchdown on the ground. It's the 22nd game of Mahomes' career (out of 47) where he's thrown for at least three touchdowns. That's nearly half of his games, which is just absurd. As for Week 2, he'll be facing a Ravens defense that got torched for 435 yards by Derek Carr in Week 1. Mahomes will be a must-start option in Week 2 both because he's an incredible quarterback and because it's a great matchup.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Cleveland Browns

Patrick Mahomes had the most fantasy points per game of any player that played in at least 10 games last season. There's really no reason to expect him to get any worse in 2021 as the Chiefs kept around their top targets. Sammy Watkins is gone, but his absence won't play a huge role. Mahomes gets what should be a favorable matchup against the Browns in Week 1. If you drafted Mahomes, you know what you're getting. He's a must-start option this week.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Patrick Mahomes finished as the No. 4 QB last season in total points and No. 1 in average points per week (he missed Week 17 for rest). He improved on his 2019 season as he finished with 38 passing touchdowns compared to 26, and had 709 more passing yards. Even his rushing numbers improved with a career-high 308 yards (or 20.5 per game). Mahomes has his top weapons returning in Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, and he’ll be playing behind a much improved offensive line in 2021.

Fantasy Downside
While the Chiefs have arguably the best receiving duo in Hill and Kelce, that could also be the team’s downfall. No other player had more than 45 receptions for the Chiefs last season, and only one other player finished with more than 500 yards. One injury to Hill or Kelce could slow Mahomes’ production, especially with the loss of Sammy Watkins in the offseason.

2021 Bottom Line
There isn’t much to dislike about Mahomes in 2021. His ceiling is being the No. 1 scorer among QBs and his floor is similar to what he did in 2019, when he still finished as the No. 8 QB despite missing two games and dealing with injuries. He’s arguably the most talented quarterback in the league in a pass-heavy offense with top-tier playmakers. He should be viewed as the No. 1 QB option heading into this season.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 vs. Atlanta Falcons

Patrick Mahomes had another dominating game last week, finishing with 254 passing yards with three touchdowns. He also added 37 yards on the ground. Mahomes had a weird two-game stretch where the Chiefs didn't pass much, but since then he's been magic. Since Week 8, Mahomes is averaging 366.1 passing yards, 17.4 rushing yards and 2.9 touchdowns per game. There's not much else to say about him in Week 16 other than he's a must-start QB1. He gets a favorable matchup against the Falcons, who have allowed the second-most passing yards and sixth-most passing TDs (to QBs) in the league.

by Jordan Heck

KC QB Patrick Mahomes - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at New Orleans Saints

Patrick Mahomes had a strange game last week as he threw three interceptions, more than he had in the entire season (2) heading into the game. Despite some struggles, Mahomes still had a strong game with 393 passing yards and two touchdowns. He's averaging 384.8 passing yards and 2.8 touchdowns over his last six games. He does get a tough matchup against the Saints this week, who have allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards this season, but Mahomes should be viewed as a matchup-proof QB. He's playing too well to consider benching him. He's a must-start QB1 in Week 15.

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