Fantasy Upside
Sammy Watkins continues to show signs of greatness, especially down the stretch in 2015. He averaged 113 receiving yard per game the last six weeks and scored six of his eight touchdowns during that stretch. Watkins also improved his yards per catch by 2.5 yards from his rookie season. No doubt he is a No. 1 type-guy and the Bills offensive game plan will treat him that way.
Fantasy Downside
The first half of Watkin's second season was a different story. He was plagued by inconsistencies and health issues which limited him to 11 receptions in 7 games. Also keep in mind he did have foot surgery in April and so there still could be issues. Finally, the Bills are a running team first under Rex Ryan. Buffalo had the fourth least passing yards in the NFL.
2016 Bottom Line
Fantasy owners liked what they saw at the end of 2015 from Watkins, but there are still to many red flags to say he can put up elite numbers. Going into the season, he is borderline WR1, and I think most people would designate him as a high-end WR2. If you have a chance to get him the 3rd round, he will be worth the risk. His ADP of 30 is a little low and there are other receivers going ahead of him that don't have the upside he does.