Tua Tagovailoa

Week 2 at Baltimore Ravens

Tua Tagovailoa had a solid Week 1 against the Patriots, finishing with 270 pass yards, 1 TD and no interceptions. It wasn't a dominating fantasy effort, but it was a nice outing against a tough defense. He gets a better matchup in Week 2 against the Ravens, who just gave up a 300-yard game to Joe Flacco (granted, he threw the ball 59 times). We'd expect a similar stat line from Tagovailoa. The Dolphins QB will be a nice streaming option once quarterbacks are on bye, but with so many other options, Tagovailoa is more in QB20 range for Week 2. He's not a horrible choice, but there are better options available.

2022 Fantasy Upside
Tua Tagovailoa stepped up in his sophomore season, upping his stats in touchdown percentage, pass yards per game, completion percentage and yards per attempt. And in year three, he gets a lot more help in supporting talent with the arrival of Tyreek Hill. Miami also added free agent WR Cedrick Wilson Jr., 4th-round rookie WR Erik Ezukanma, RB Chase Edmonds, and RB Raheem Mostert. The Dolphins’ offensive line also saw some additional help with the arrival of Terron Armstead and Connor Williams. Last season, Tagovailoa managed (in the 11 games he played 93%+ of the snaps) to score 15.3 points per game. With an improved offense, Tagovailoa is set up to have a career year in Miami.

2022 Fantasy Downside
While Tagovailoa took a step forward last season, it was more of a baby step. He finished the season playing at least 90% of the snaps in the final seven games and in that span he averaged just barely above 200 yards passing per game with a 9-to-6 TD-to-turnover ratio. And while the Dolphins added a lot of weapons on offense, their offensive line is still a cause of concern. 4for4’s Justin Edwards ranked them 24th in the league. Last season, Tagovailoa had on average just 2.5 seconds to throw, which was one of the lowest marks in the league. There’s also a worry of Tagovailoa staying healthy. He entered the league with health issues and has in two seasons suffered an ankle sprain, thumb sprain, fractured ribs and a finger fracture.

2022 Bottom Line
This is a make-or-break year for Tagovailoa. Miami has certainly undergone a lot of changes this offseason, most notably bringing in Tyreek Hill and new head coach Mike McDaniel. With Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Mike Gesicki and everyone else, the ceiling is high for Tagovailoa. But he still needs to actually prove he can get it done. Tagovailoa has the potential to become a top 10 QB in fantasy this season. But heading into the year, he should be viewed more around the QB15 range, making him an interesting candidate around Round 10.

Week 16 at New Orleans Saints

Tua Tagovailoa got off to a horrible start last week, but he managed to turn in an OK fantasy performance. Tagovailoa finished with 196 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. He seemed to struggle somewhat with Jaylen Waddle out of the lineup, but Waddle will be returning in Week 16 against the Saints. Tagovailoa finally has a healthy set of wideouts with Waddle and DeVante Parker back together, and he'll get a favorable matchup this week against the Saints. In the five games since Miami's bye, Tagovailoa has scored at least one touchdown in every game and two touchdowns in three games. He's not a QB who is likely to pop off for a huge performance, but he's usually a safe bet to not completely bust. He's a viable streaming option around the QB15 range in Week 16.