Fantasy Upside
Talk about the ultimate fantasy upside. That's what you get with Tyreek Hill in this Miami offense with Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback and Mike McDaniel calling plays. Hill is coming off the board as WR2 and third overall behind only Christian McCaffrey and CeeDee Lamb. Hill finished as the WR2 last season but averaged the most points per game ahead of Lamb. While more steady options were added behind him and Jaylen Waddle in the receiving room, he's still the unquestioned WR1 in one of the more high-octane offenses in the league and has seen over 170 targets in both seasons in South Beach.
Fantasy Downside
The only real downside case you can make for Hill involves injury (not something we can project) or age. Hill is entering his age 30 season, and while receivers tend to decline around year 10, this is only year 9 for Hill. We did see him pick up a few knocks last year so maybe those injuries nag on a little longer at age 30 or maybe Tua Tagovailoa gets injured again? That's about the best one can argue against Hill because the offense and role are immaculate.
2024 Bottom Line
Hill is a strong buy as the WR2 and third overall and there isn't much else to say. The upside case far outweighs the potential negatives for him in 2024.