Fantasy Upside
In his first season, Zack Moss showed signs of being a quality NFL running back. Even though he split carries for Devin Singletary, he seemed to gain the Bills' confidence more as the season went on. He rushed for 481 yards and had 95 receiving yards. Although Singletary had more total touches, Moss missed three games and their touch rate was the same. Buffalo seemed to favor Moss in short-yardage situations including goal-line opportunities where he had the most carries on the team.
Fantasy Downside
The Bills don't seem interested in having a full-time featured back. They were happy with the combination of Moss and Singletary. What this means is Moss' fantasy outlook will be affected by the lack of touches and that will keep him down the fantasy rankings. Even with Moss being the short-yardage back, QB Josh Allen had half the rushing touchdowns for Buffalo.
2021 Bottom Line
Expect Moss to increase his carries and receptions, but not to the point where he will have a major fantasy impact. His ADP shows him going much higher than the predicted numbers dictate. He should rush for over 500 yards and double his receiving output. However, we expect Moss to still split time with Singletary which makes him depth for your team. Don't reach to get him in the 9th-10th rounds. If he falls past those rounds, he will give you some decent depth as your fourth or fifth running back.