Week 14 at Kansas City
Latavius Murray had 20 rush attempts for 82 total yards and two touchdowns in a 38-24 win over the Bills in Week 13. With volume and red-zone opportunity mitigating his inefficiency, Murray has seen less competition than early in the season. He has enough touchdown equity and involvement in the passing game to be very effective. The volume has not been anywhere near last year, but Murray has six touchdowns over his last four games. However, the Chiefs run defense is extremely stout and rates as one of the worst matchups in regards to RB aFPA. Murray will be a high end RB2 in Week 14.
Week 13 vs. Buffalo
Latavius Murray (ankle) had 88 total yards and a touchdown in a 35-32 win over the Panthers in Week 12. With volume and red-zone opportunity mitigating his inefficiency, he has seen less competition in this backfield since his return. Murray is not in danger of missing this game even with his injury and has enough touchdown equity and involvement in the passing game to be very effective. The volume has not been anywhere near last year, but Murray has still seen an average of 18.75 touches per game over his last four and dominates the red zone. However, the Bills run defense is extremely stout and rates as one of the worst matchups in regards to RB aFPA. Murray will be a high-end RB2 in Week 13.
Week 12 at Carolina
Latavius Murray (ankle) had just 12 rush attempts for 33 yards, but did record five receptions for 59 yards in a 27-20 win over the Texans on Monday Night Football. With volume and red-zone opportunity mitigating his inefficiency, he has seen less competition in this backfield since his return. Murray is not in danger of missing this game and has enough touchdown equity and involvement in the passing game to be very effective. However, the Panthers run defense is extremely stout and rates as one of the worst matchups in regards to RB aFPA. Murray will be a low-end RB2 in Week 12.
Week 11 vs. Houston
Murray had 20 rushing attempts for 114 yards with three touchdowns in a 30-20 win over the Broncos before their Week 10 bye. With volume and red-zone opportunity mitigating his inefficiency, he has seen less competition in this backfield since his return. Murray is averaging 19 touches over his last three games and he has enough touchdown equity and involvement in the passing game to be very effective. The Texans run defense comes in as a bottom-half unit according to aFPA, and Murray will be a high-end RB2 in Week 11.
Week 9 vs. Denver
Murray had eleven carries for 48 yards and also added five receptions for 23 yards in a 30-25 overtime win against the Bucs in Week 8. Murray will probably be terribly inefficient all game, but get into the end zone because that is what he does. Volume and red-zone opportunity mitigates his inefficiency, and the Broncos run defense comes in at the middle of the pack in RB aFPA. He is a low-end RB2 in Week 9.
Week 8 at Tampa Bay
In his return from a toe injury, Murray out-touched the rest of this backfield rotation 20-11 in Week 7 en route to a 18-59-2 stat line. This week, contrary to common narratives, the Bucs run defense comes in as a bottom-half unit according to aFPA. Murray’s inefficiency is somewhat irrelevant if he continues to see the increased volume he did in his return. He is a low-end RB2 in Week 8.
Week 7 at Jacksonville
Latavius Murray (toe) is expected to play against the Jaguars in Week 7 after missing the past two games. Even while healthy, Murray’s role has been nowhere near the 20-plus touches like he was accustomed to in 2015 and he didn't receive over 15 carries in a game during the first four weeks of the season. His volume is unknown, even in a decent matchup.
Week 4 at Baltimore
Latavius Murray had a 10-carry, 37-yard, one touchdown performance in Week 3. He had just a 42.11 percent rushing share after averaging 16.6 rush attempts, for 66.6 rushing yards and 0.375 rush TDs per game last season. HIs volume is a huge issue this year as compared to last. The Raiders are a slight road underdog against the Ravens, who are are on the low end of RB aFPA. The Raiders are a team that was projected to be able to lean heavily on the power running game, but the coaching staff has recently stated it will be a rotation. Murray will be a RB2 against the Ravens.
Week 3 at Tennessee
Latavius Murray had a 14-carry, 57-yard performance in a 28-35 loss against the Falcons in Week 2, where he added six receptions for 44 yards and played 48% of the snaps. He had just a 53.85% rushing share after averaging 16.6 rush attempts, for 66.6 rushing yards and 0.375 rush TDs per game last season. Murray received 84.0 percent of Oakland’s RB carries inside the 10-yard line in 2015 and still has 75% of the red zone carries through the first two weeks. He is a slight road underdog against the Titans, who are in the middle of the pack in RB aFPA. The Raiders are a team that is projected to be much better this year and with an improved defense, will be able to lean heavily on the power running game but the coaching staff has recently stated it will be a rotation. Murray will be a RB2 against the Titans.
Week 2 vs. Atlanta
Latavius Murray had a 14-carry, 59-yard performance in a 35-34 win over the Saints, where he added a reception for 13 yards and played 62% of the snaps. He had just a 53.85% rushing share after averaging 16.6 rush attempts, for 66.6 rushing yards and 0.375 rush TDs per game last season.Murray received 84.0 percent of Oakland’s RB carries inside the 10-yard line in 2015, but just 33.3% of the red zone carries in Week 1. He is a road favorite against the Falcons, who are near the top of the league in RB aFPA. The Raiders are a team that is projected to be much better this year and with an improved defense, will be able to lean heavily on the power running game. Murray will be a low end RB1 against the Falcons.
